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Figueirense vs Lusitania FC

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2019/2020
Sun, Mar 15, 2020
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Figueirense host Lusitania FC in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2019/2020. Lusitania FC go into this one as the clear favorite. Lusitania FC have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while Figueirense have conceded 0 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Figueirense have won 0 to Lusitania FC's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 15, 2020, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.35 - 0.99) back Lusitania FC to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Figueirense
40%
Draws
29%
Lusitania FC
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Lusitania FC have won more games recently than Figueirense.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2019/2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 20%
Lusitania FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Lusitania FC
Matches Played 21 26
Wins 1 10
Draws 2 5
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Figueirense vs Lusitania FC
0:0
Nov 3, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Lusitania FC vs Figueirense
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 32 / 100
Lusitania FC 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Lusitania FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lusitania FC conceded in 77% of 26 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.50 goals as a typical output.

Lusitania FC's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Figueirense found the back of the net in 19% of recent matches (21 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Lusitania FC
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
07 Sept
Figueirense
0 : 5
Sanjoanense
08 Mar
Arouca
9 : 0
Figueirense
01 Mar
Figueirense
2 : 2
Amarante FC
23 Feb
Trofense
1 : 0
Figueirense
16 Feb
Figueirense
0 : 3
Canelas 2010
Page 1 of 5

Lusitania FC

(Away)
18 Jul
Lusitania FC
0 : 2
Braga B
15 Jul
Famalicao
1 : 0
Lusitania FC
17 May
Leixoes
2 : 1
Lusitania FC
09 May
Lusitania FC
1 : 2
Torreense
02 May
Oliveirense
0 : 0
Lusitania FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Arouca25184349:1958
2Lusitania FC25148343:1850
3SC Espinho25139344:1748
4Leca25137541:2746
5Castro Daire25128532:2244
6Sanjoanense24126635:2642
7FC Felgueiras24115847:3638
8Paredes2597926:1934
9Canelas 201025712623:1933
10Amarante FC2589831:2933
11Coimbroes25861129:4130
12Trofense25861124:3030
13Pedras Rubras25771128:3228
14Gondomar25761228:3327
15Lusitano FCV25741429:3625
16Valadares Gaia FC25741428:4725
17SC Vila Real25431820:4715
18Figueirense25232011:709
Promotion - Liga Portugal 2 2020/2021 (Main)