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Figueirense vs Marcilio Dias

Brazil Brazil

Catarinense Estádio Orlando Scarpelli, Florianópolis
Figueirense Logo

Figueirense

0 - 1
FT
Marcilio Dias Logo

Marcilio Dias

Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Lucas Batatinha
21'
Marcelo Sousa
33'
Felipe Baiano
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Marcilio Dias in this Catarinense matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Marcilio Dias.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Figueirense
20%
Draws
36%
Marcilio Dias
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Figueirense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Marcilio Dias haven't matched Figueirense's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Catarinense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Figueirense Clean Sheet 15%
Marcilio Dias Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Figueirense Marcilio Dias
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 16 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.14 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.11 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Catarinense
Figueirense vs Marcilio Dias
0:1
Feb 13, 2026 Catarinense
Marcilio Dias vs Figueirense
1:0
Jan 10, 2026 Catarinense
Figueirense vs Marcilio Dias
1:0
Nov 9, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Marcilio Dias vs Figueirense
2:1
Nov 2, 2025 Copa Santa Catarina
Figueirense vs Marcilio Dias
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Figueirense Compare

Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Marcilio Dias Compare

Top Goalscorer Cesinha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Figueirense 31 / 100
Marcilio Dias 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Figueirense Marcilio Dias

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Figueirense remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Figueirense scored in 70% of their last 37 games.

Marcilio Dias let in goals in 71% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Figueirense VS Marcilio Dias
1.13 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Figueirense

(Home)
12 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 0
Nacao
05 Sept
Figueirense
1 : 1
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
29 Aug
Figueirense
2 : 1
Maranhao
23 Aug
Internacional de Limeira
0 : 0
Figueirense
16 Aug
SER Caxias do Sul
1 : 2
Figueirense
Page 1 of 8

Marcilio Dias

(Away)
19 Sept
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Hercilio Luz
13 Sept
Santa Catarina
2 : 1
Marcilio Dias
07 Sept
CA Metropolitano
2 : 5
Marcilio Dias
30 Aug
Marcilio Dias
4 : 2
Joinville
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0
Marcilio Dias
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marcilio Dias 6 4 1 1 10:5 13
2 Carlos Renaux 6 4 1 1 10:8 13
3 Figueirense 6 2 0 4 6:7 7
4 Joinville 6 1 0 5 6:12 3
Relegation - Catarinense 2 2027 (Main)