Sport Picks
Fiji vs New Caledonia
World
World Championship 2026 PNG Football Stadium, Port Moresby 
Match Events
11'
11'
Sub
Zeoula C. In: Katrawa J.
Out: Zeoula C.
40'
40'
Dunn T.
45'
45'
Krishna R.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
The World Championship 2026 game between Fiji and New Caledonia finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
20%
35%
45%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New Caledonia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
45%
/ Medium Confidence
- New Caledonia's 2.26 goals per match outpaces what Fiji have produced (1.69).
- 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Fiji Clean Sheet 11%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiji | New Caledonia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 19 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 1 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.69 | 2.26 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.26 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.56 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Fiji vs New Caledonia
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 World Championship
Fiji vs New Caledonia
1:1
Mar 18, 2022 World Championship
New Caledonia vs Fiji
1:2
Jul 12, 2019 Pacific Games
New Caledonia vs Fiji
1:0
Mar 18, 2019 Friendly International
Fiji vs New Caledonia
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiji Compare
Avg xG / game 0.43
Avg xA / game 0.28
New Caledonia Compare
Top Goalscorer Katrawa J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiji 30 / 100
New Caledonia 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiji New Caledonia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick New Caledonia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fiji scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
New Caledonia has conceded goals in 63% of their last 19 outings.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Recent resilience: Fiji stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fiji VS New Caledonia
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
3 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiji
(Home) 18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3 Solomon Islands
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2 Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1 Fiji
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1 Solomon Islands
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 0 Fiji
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18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3 Solomon Islands
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1 Solomon Islands
12 Dec
Fiji
1 : 1 Vanuatu
17 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1 New Caledonia
08 Sept
Fiji
1 : 1 Hong Kong
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New Caledonia
(Away) 27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1 Jamaica
08 Oct
Gibraltar
0 : 2 New Caledonia
24 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 3 New Zealand
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0 Tahiti
17 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1 New Caledonia
Page 1 of 4
08 Oct
Gibraltar
0 : 2 New Caledonia
17 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1 New Caledonia
14 Nov
Solomon Islands
2 : 3 New Caledonia
24 Nov
Cook Islands
0 : 8 New Caledonia
11 Oct
Papua New Guinea
1 : 3 New Caledonia
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Caledonia | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7:4 | 7 |
| 2 | Fiji | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 5 |
| 3 | Solomon Islands | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 4 | Papua New Guinea | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | 1 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | New Zealand | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 19:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Tahiti | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Vanuatu | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 4 | Samoa | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1:15 | 0 |
Promotion - World Championship 2026 (Third stage)
