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Fiji vs New Caledonia

World World

Friendly International 2024
Thu, Dec 12, 2024
VS
02:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiji host New Caledonia in the Friendly International 2024. Little to choose between these two on current form. Fiji have averaged 1.61 scored and 1.65 conceded recently, against New Caledonia's 2.29 scored and 1.24 conceded. Past meetings favor Fiji slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Dec 12, 2024, ending 0:0. xG projections (0.44 - 1.69) back New Caledonia to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Fiji
35%
Draws
45%
New Caledonia
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: New Caledonia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and New Caledonia come out ahead of Fiji on wins alone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Fiji taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Fiji Clean Sheet 13%
New Caledonia Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji New Caledonia
Matches Played 31 21
Wins 11 12
Draws 10 2
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.61 2.29
Goals Conceded 1.65 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.44 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Fiji vs New Caledonia
0:0
Nov 17, 2024 World Championship
Fiji vs New Caledonia
1:1
Mar 18, 2022 World Championship
New Caledonia vs Fiji
1:2
Jul 12, 2019 Pacific Games
New Caledonia vs Fiji
1:0
Mar 18, 2019 Friendly International
Fiji vs New Caledonia
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji 40 / 100
New Caledonia 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji New Caledonia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiji found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (31 games).

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Fiji went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

New Caledonia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 21 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiji VS New Caledonia
0.38 Goals Scored 0.25
3.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 25%
50% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji

(Home)
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
20 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 0
Fiji
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New Caledonia

(Away)
27 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 1
Jamaica
08 Oct
Gibraltar
0 : 2
New Caledonia
24 Mar
New Caledonia
0 : 3
New Zealand
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
17 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
New Caledonia
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