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Fiji vs Vanuatu

World World

Friendly International 2024 Lawson Tama Stadium, Honiara
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Nalaubu S.
90' Event
Saniel A.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2024 game between Fiji and Vanuatu finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Fiji
35%
Draws
47%
Vanuatu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Vanuatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Vanuatu haven't matched Fiji's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.400000000000006%
Fiji Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiji Vanuatu
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 10 9
Draws 8 4
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.68 1.35
Goals Conceded 1.75 2.31
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 9, 2026 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:2
Jun 6, 2026 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:1
Nov 17, 2025 Friendly International
Vanuatu vs Fiji
2:0
Dec 12, 2024 Friendly International
Fiji vs Vanuatu
1:1
Jun 27, 2024 OFC Nations Cup
Fiji vs Vanuatu
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiji Compare

Top Goalscorer Nalaubu S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Vanuatu Compare

Top Goalscorer Saniel A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji 34 / 100
Vanuatu 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiji Vanuatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Vanuatu has conceded goals in 88% of their last 26 outings.

Attacking prowess: Fiji scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fiji stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiji VS Vanuatu
0.63 Goals Scored 1.75
3 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiji

(Home)
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Fiji
3 : 3
Solomon Islands
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
22 Nov
Fiji
1 : 1
Solomon Islands
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Vanuatu

(Away)
24 Sept
Solomon Islands
3 : 3
Vanuatu
21 Sept
Fiji
0 : 1
Vanuatu
18 Sept
Papua New Guinea
2 : 1
Vanuatu
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
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