Sport Picks

World

Friendly International Women 2023

New Caledonia W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Fiji W play New Caledonia W in the Friendly International Women 2023. Fiji W are favorites here. Recently, Fiji W averaged 2.22 goals scored and 1.72 conceded. New Caledonia W averaged 2.14 goals scored and 2.68 conceded. In past meetings, Fiji W won 4, New Caledonia W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 27, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.91 for Fiji W and 1.03 for New Caledonia W. This points to a Fiji W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Fiji W

15%

Draws

28%

New Caledonia W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiji W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Fiji W picked up more points recently compared to New Caledonia W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.91 vs 1.03 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 86%

Over 3.5 Goals 52%

Over 4.5 Goals 26%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%

Fiji W Clean Sheet 23%

New Caledonia W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 85%

Second Half Goal 89%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fiji W	New Caledonia W
Matches Played	32	28
Wins	18	9
Draws	2	4
Losses	12	15
Goals Scored	2.22	2.14
Goals Conceded	1.72	2.68
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	0.57
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	2.57

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 World Cup Women

Fiji W vs New Caledonia W

Possession: 54% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

5:0

Nov 27, 2023 Pacific Games Women

Fiji W vs New Caledonia W

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

3:0

Oct 15, 2023 Friendly International Women

Fiji W vs New Caledonia W

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 4 - 3

1:1

Oct 10, 2023 Friendly International Women

Fiji W vs New Caledonia W

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Jul 17, 2022 OFC Nations Cup Women

Fiji W vs New Caledonia W

Possession: 45% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiji W 56 / 100

New Caledonia W 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fiji W New Caledonia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiji W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Fiji W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +7.5%

1.25

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fiji W attacking → ← attacking New Caledonia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiji W scored in 84% of their last 32 games.

New Caledonia W let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Fiji W went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

New Caledonia W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

56 Points in last 5 31

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.57

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.57