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Finale vs Sanremese

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Finale
30%
Draws
58%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Sanremese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sanremese have won more games recently than Finale.
  • Win probability leans Sanremese's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Finale Clean Sheet 20%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finale Sanremese
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 4 17
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.53 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 8, 2018 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Sanremese
1:1
Nov 19, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Sanremese vs Finale
4:0
Apr 23, 2017 Serie D - Group E
Finale vs Sanremese
2:0
Dec 8, 2016 Serie D - Group E
Sanremese vs Finale
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finale 16 / 100
Sanremese 66 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finale Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Finale scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Sanremese conceded in 56% of 36 recent games.

Finale has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sanremese
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Finale

(Home)
06 May
Finale
1 : 2
Scandicci
29 Apr
Sestri Levante
2 : 0
Finale
22 Apr
Finale
1 : 3
Albissola
15 Apr
Viareggio
2 : 0
Finale
08 Apr
Finale
1 : 1
Sanremese
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Sanremese

(Away)
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
12 Sept
Sanremese
1 : 0
Celle Varazze
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albissola 34 21 6 7 56:30 69
2 Sanremese 34 20 7 7 58:34 67
3 FC Ponsacco 34 17 11 6 49:31 62
4 Real Forte Querceta 34 16 12 6 50:27 60
5 Viareggio 34 17 9 8 57:46 58
6 Massese 34 15 11 8 50:33 56
7 Savona 34 16 7 11 53:34 55
8 Seravezza Pozzi 34 13 12 9 44:33 51
9 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 12 10 12 41:34 46
10 Ghiviborgo 34 10 14 10 48:45 44
11 Ligorna 34 11 10 13 41:50 43
12 Sestri Levante 34 11 9 14 35:34 42
13 Lavagnese 34 11 8 15 35:42 41
14 Rignanese 34 10 8 16 36:60 38
15 Scandicci 34 10 4 20 42:54 34
16 Finale 34 6 12 16 38:49 30
17 Argentina 34 4 9 21 29:71 21
18 Valdinievole Montecatini 34 2 9 23 19:74 15
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2017/2018 (Play Offs)