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Finland U17 vs Latvia U17

World World

Friendly International Jari Litmanen Areena, Eerikkilä
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Ahola E.
29'
Holtoms H.
41' Event
Ahen J.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International game between Finland U17 and Latvia U17 finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finland U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Finland U17
35%
Draws
34%
Latvia U17
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finland U17 come out ahead of Latvia U17 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Regular Friendly International form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Finland U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Latvia U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U17 Latvia U17
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.94 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.87 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.52 2.67
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 2, 2026 Friendly International
Finland U17 vs Latvia U17
5:1
Jun 25, 2025 Friendly International
Latvia U17 vs Finland U17
2:1
Jun 30, 2024 Friendly International
Latvia U17 vs Finland U17
0:2
Jun 28, 2023 Friendly International
Finland U17 vs Latvia U17
4:1
Jun 29, 2022 Friendly International
Finland U17 vs Latvia U17
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ahola E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ahen J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76

Latvia U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zvilna K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.43
Avg xA / game 1.48

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U17 34 / 100
Latvia U17 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U17 Latvia U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Latvia U17 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Latvia U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Finland U17 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Finland U17's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U17 VS Latvia U17
0.75 Goals Scored 2.71
2.63 Goals Conceded 2.29
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 86%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U17

(Home)
02 Jul
Finland U17
5 : 1
Latvia U17
30 Jun
Finland U17
1 : 1
Lithuania U17
28 Jun
Finland U17
0 : 0
Estonia U17
29 Apr
Bosnia & Herzegovina U17
2 : 3
Finland U17
26 Apr
Finland U17
0 : 0
Moldova U17
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Latvia U17

(Away)
02 Jul
Finland U17
5 : 1
Latvia U17
30 Jun
Latvia U17
3 : 0
Estonia U17
28 Jun
Latvia U17
5 : 1
Lithuania U17
06 Jun
Ukraine U17
2 : 3
Latvia U17
03 Jun
Latvia U17
2 : 2
Albania U17
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