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Finland U17 vs Lithuania U17 Prediction & H2H Stats

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Friendly International 2025 EJL TNTK jalgpallivaljak, Tallinn
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Yinkfu Chuye M.
30' Event
Petravicius J.
53' Event
Jarvinen L.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2025 game between Finland U17 and Lithuania U17 finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finland U17.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Finland U17
35%
Draws
20%
Lithuania U17
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Finland U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Finland U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Finland U17's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Finland U17 Clean Sheet 10%
Lithuania U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U17 Lithuania U17
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 10
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.94 2.1
Goals Conceded 1.79 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 30, 2026 Friendly International
Finland U17 vs Lithuania U17
1:1
Jun 27, 2025 Friendly International
Finland U17 vs Lithuania U17
3:1
Jun 28, 2024 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Finland U17
3:2
Jun 30, 2023 Friendly International
Lithuania U17 vs Finland U17
1:3
Jul 1, 2022 Friendly International
Finland U17 vs Lithuania U17
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Yinkfu Chuye M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jarvinen L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Lithuania U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Petravicius J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U17 83 / 100
Lithuania U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U17 Lithuania U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lithuania U17 has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.20 goals per match.

Finland U17 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Finland U17 scored in 79% of their last 34 outings.

Scoring Trends

Finland U17 VS Lithuania U17
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U17

(Home)
25 Sept
Finland U17
1 : 0
France U17
23 Sept
Finland U17
3 : 1
France U17
02 Jul
Finland U17
5 : 1
Latvia U17
30 Jun
Finland U17
1 : 1
Lithuania U17
28 Jun
Finland U17
0 : 0
Estonia U17
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Lithuania U17

(Away)
02 Jul
Estonia U17
1 : 4
Lithuania U17
30 Jun
Finland U17
1 : 1
Lithuania U17
28 Jun
Latvia U17
5 : 1
Lithuania U17
30 Mar
Lithuania U17
0 : 3
Bulgaria U17
27 Mar
Lithuania U17
0 : 0
Azerbaijan U17
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