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Finland U18 vs Kazakhstan U18

World World

Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016
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Match Events

17' Event
Maenpaa N.

AI Match Summary

The Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 game between Finland U18 and Kazakhstan U18 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finland U18.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Finland U18
15%
Draws
32%
Kazakhstan U18
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U18

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finland U18 come out ahead of Kazakhstan U18 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Finland U18 a 53% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Finland U18 Clean Sheet 68%
Kazakhstan U18 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U18 Kazakhstan U18
Matches Played 25 25
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 3
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 1.64 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.56 2.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.48 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 6, 2016 Valentin Granatkin Memorial
Finland U18 vs Kazakhstan U18
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U18 Compare

Top Goalscorer Maenpaa N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.74

Kazakhstan U18 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U18 59 / 100
Kazakhstan U18 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U18 Kazakhstan U18

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U18 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Finland U18 scored in 84% of their last 25 outings.

Kazakhstan U18 has conceded goals in 76% of their last 25 outings.

Finland U18 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Kazakhstan U18 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U18 VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U18

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Norway U18
06 Jun
Finland U18
3 : 1
Turkey U18
04 Jun
Ukraine U18
0 : 0
Finland U18
15 Nov
Denmark U18
1 : 2
Finland U18
13 Nov
Denmark U18
2 : 1
Finland U18
Page 1 of 5

Kazakhstan U18

(Away)
08 Sept
Kyrgyzstan U18
0 : 4
Kazakhstan U18
06 Sept
Moldova U18
2 : 1
Kazakhstan U18
04 Sept
Kazakhstan U18
1 : 4
Zenit St Petersburg U18
01 Sept
Turkey U18
0 : 1
Kazakhstan U18
30 Aug
Kyrgyzstan U18
2 : 1
Kazakhstan U18
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zenit St Petersburg U18 4 3 1 0 12:4 10
2 Slovakia U18 4 2 1 1 5:2 7
3 Belarus U18 4 2 0 2 8:7 6
4 Japan U18 4 1 1 2 8:10 4
5 Lithuania U18 4 0 1 3 3:13 1
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Russia U18 4 2 2 0 14:5 8
2 Finland U18 4 1 3 0 5:4 6
3 Kazakhstan U18 4 1 1 2 3:8 4
4 Moldova U18 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
5 Estonia U18 4 0 3 1 6:10 3
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Slovenia U18 3 2 1 0 9:2 7
2 Latvia U18 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 Azerbaijan U18 3 1 1 1 3:5 4
4 Bulgaria U18 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Valentin Granatkin Memorial 2016 (Placement Play Offs)