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Finland U19 vs Iceland U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Vikstrom R.
20'
Kirilov M.
21' Event
Johannesson D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Finland U19 in this Euro U19 2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Finland U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Finland U19
30%
Draws
31%
Iceland U19
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland U19 lately — more wins on the board than Iceland U19.
  • Win probability leans Finland U19's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Finland U19 Clean Sheet 15%
Iceland U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U19 Iceland U19
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 15
Goals Scored 1.62 1.37
Goals Conceded 1.28 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 12, 2025 Euro U19
Finland U19 vs Iceland U19
3:2
Oct 9, 2019 Friendly International
Finland U19 vs Iceland U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Vikstrom R.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Iceland U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dadason V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U19 39 / 100
Iceland U19 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U19 Iceland U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U19 found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Iceland U19 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Finland U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U19 VS Iceland U19
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U19

(Home)
30 Sept
Finland U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
27 Sept
Sweden U19
2 : 2
Finland U19
24 Sept
Scotland U19
3 : 1
Finland U19
31 Mar
Slovenia U19
0 : 1
Finland U19
31 Mar
Finland U19
1 : 1
Czech Republic U19
Page 1 of 6

Iceland U19

(Away)
09 Jun
Georgia U19
2 : 3
Iceland U19
06 Jun
Iceland U19
1 : 1
Montenegro U19
31 Mar
Morocco U18
2 : 1
Iceland U19
28 Mar
Portugal U18
4 : 0
Iceland U19
26 Mar
Iceland U19
1 : 2
USA U18
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands U19 3 3 0 0 13:3 9
2 Kazakhstan U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Ireland U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Cyprus U19 3 0 1 2 1:9 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France U19 3 3 0 0 8:2 9
2 Hungary U19 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
3 Bulgaria U19 3 1 1 1 5:3 4
4 Faroe Islands U19 3 0 0 3 0:10 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Turkey U19 3 3 0 0 11:1 9
2 Greece U19 3 2 0 1 11:2 6
3 Belarus U19 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
4 Liechtenstein U19 3 0 0 3 0:20 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria U19 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Slovenia U19 3 1 1 1 6:4 4
3 Israel U19 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Luxembourg U19 3 0 1 2 1:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ukraine U19 3 3 0 0 9:0 9
2 Slovakia U19 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 Montenegro U19 3 1 0 2 1:6 3
4 Albania U19 3 0 1 2 0:4 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia U19 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Serbia U19 3 2 0 1 8:5 6
3 Georgia U19 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 Gibraltar U19 3 0 0 3 0:13 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Romania U19 3 2 1 0 8:2 7
2 Finland U19 3 1 1 1 4:4 4
3 Iceland U19 3 1 0 2 5:6 3
4 Andorra U19 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England U19 3 3 0 0 13:0 9
2 Latvia U19 3 1 1 1 4:10 4
3 Lithuania U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Scotland U19 3 0 1 2 3:8 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Italy U19 3 2 1 0 9:0 7
2 Poland U19 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
3 Moldova U19 3 1 0 2 2:10 3
4 Bosnia & Herzegovina U19 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Denmark U19 3 2 0 1 13:1 6
2 Sweden U19 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
3 Switzerland U19 3 2 0 1 4:7 6
4 San Marino U19 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal U19 3 1 2 0 6:3 5
2 Belgium U19 3 1 2 0 3:2 5
3 North Macedonia U19 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
4 Estonia U19 3 0 2 1 2:4 2
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany U19 3 3 0 0 14:1 9
2 Norway U19 3 2 0 1 9:2 6
3 Kosovo U19 3 1 0 2 3:9 3
4 Armenia U19 3 0 0 3 0:14 0
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 13)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Czech Republic U19 3 2 1 0 12:3 7
2 Northern Ireland U19 3 2 0 1 2:4 6
3 Azerbaijan U19 3 1 0 2 3:8 3
4 Malta U19 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
Promotion - Euro U19 2026 (Second stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams