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Finland U21 vs Georgia U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Gloria Spor Kompleksi, Belek
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Hyrylainen L.
46'
Sub
Terho C. In: Talvitie J.
Out: Terho C.
46'
Sub
Ylitolva M. In: Wallius K.
Out: Ylitolva M.

AI Match Summary

Georgia U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Georgia U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Finland U21
15%
Draws
18%
Georgia U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Finland U21 have won more games recently than Georgia U21.
  • Model gives Finland U21 a 67% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Georgia U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Georgia U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U21 Georgia U21
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 17 12
Draws 5 6
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.34 1.43
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2025 Friendly International
Finland U21 vs Georgia U21
2:4
Oct 12, 2018 Euro U21
Finland U21 vs Georgia U21
1:2
Nov 10, 2017 Euro U21
Georgia U21 vs Finland U21
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hyrylainen L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Talvitie J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Georgia U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Khvadagiani S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mamageishvili G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U21 85 / 100
Georgia U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U21 Georgia U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Finland U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Finland U21 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Defensive concern: Georgia U21 conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Finland U21 VS Georgia U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U21

(Home)
25 Sept
Finland U21
2 : 1
Spain U21
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
31 Mar
Finland U21
3 : 0
Cyprus U21
26 Mar
San Marino U21
0 : 8
Finland U21
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Georgia U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Georgia U21
0 : 3
Greece U21
09 Jun
Moldova U21
3 : 2
Georgia U21
05 Jun
USA U20
1 : 0
Georgia U21
31 Mar
Georgia U21
4 : 1
Malta U21
27 Mar
Georgia U21
1 : 1
Latvia U21
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