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Finland U21 vs Ireland U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U21
Fri, Nov 13, 2026
VS
04:15 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Euro U21. Little to choose between these two on current form. Finland U21 have averaged 2.32 scored and 1.06 conceded recently, against Ireland U21's 1.77 scored and 1.32 conceded. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. The numbers (2.00 xG vs 0.75) point toward Finland U21. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Finland U21
30%
Draws
32%
Ireland U21
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Finland U21 come out ahead of Ireland U21 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Finland U21 a 38% chance of winning this.
  • Finland U21 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Finland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland U21 Ireland U21
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 15
Draws 6 10
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 2.32 1.77
Goals Conceded 1.06 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland U21 58 / 100
Ireland U21 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland U21 Ireland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finland U21 scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Recent resilience: Finland U21 stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Ireland U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Finland U21 VS Ireland U21
2.63 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland U21

(Home)
06 Oct
Kosovo U21
4 : 4
Finland U21
30 Sept
Romania U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
25 Sept
Finland U21
2 : 1
Spain U21
08 Jun
Norway U21
0 : 2
Finland U21
04 Jun
Sweden U21
1 : 3
Finland U21
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Ireland U21

(Away)
06 Oct
Ireland U21
3 : 1
England U21
29 Sept
Ireland U21
4 : 3
Kazakhstan U21
25 Sept
Slovakia U21
0 : 2
Ireland U21
09 Jun
Ireland U21
0 : 0
Qatar U23
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Denmark U21 -
Netherlands U21 -
Iceland U21 -
Greece U21 -
Finland U21 -
Ireland U21 -
Turkey U21 -
Czech Republic U21 -