Sport Picks
Match Events
4'
4'
Pikkarainen J.
10'
10'
Alho N.
52'
52'
Bakasetas A.
Assist: Koulierakis K.
AI Match Summary
The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Finland and Greece finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Greece.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Finland
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Greece carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Finland a 47% chance of winning this.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Greece here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Finland Clean Sheet 68%
Greece Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Finland | Greece |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 19 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.71 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.86 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Nov 17, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Finland vs Greece
0:2
Sep 7, 2024 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Finland
3:0
Nov 18, 2019 Euro
Greece vs Finland
2:1
Sep 5, 2019 Euro
Finland vs Greece
1:0
Nov 15, 2018 UEFA Nations League
Greece vs Finland
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Finland Compare
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Greece Compare
Top Goalscorer Bakasetas A.
1 Goals Assists Leader Tzolis C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Finland 50 / 100
Greece 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Finland Greece
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Finland Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Finland scored in 62% of their last 29 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Greece has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.
Recent resilience: Finland stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Finland VS Greece
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Finland
(Home) 05 Jun
Hungary
2 : 1 Finland
31 May
Germany
4 : 0 Finland
30 Mar
Cape Verde
2 : 1 Finland
27 Mar
New Zealand
0 : 2 Finland
17 Nov
Finland
4 : 0 Andorra
Page 1 of 6
17 Nov
Finland
4 : 0 Andorra
14 Nov
Finland
0 : 1 Malta
09 Oct
Finland
2 : 1 Lithuania
10 Jun
Finland
2 : 1 Poland
07 Jun
Finland
0 : 2 Netherlands
Page 1 of 3
Greece
(Away) 07 Jun
Greece
0 : 1 Italy
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2 Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0 Greece
27 Mar
Greece
0 : 1 Paraguay
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0 Greece
Page 1 of 6
04 Jun
Sweden
2 : 2 Greece
31 Mar
Hungary
0 : 0 Greece
18 Nov
Belarus
0 : 0 Greece
12 Oct
Denmark
3 : 1 Greece
09 Oct
Scotland
3 : 1 Greece
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Czech Republic | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 2 | Ukraine | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 8 |
| 3 | Georgia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Albania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | 7 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | England | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:3 | 15 |
| 2 | Greece | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 11:4 | 15 |
| 3 | Ireland | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:12 | 6 |
| 4 | Finland | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2:13 | 0 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Norway | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 15:7 | 13 |
| 2 | Austria | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 14:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Slovenia | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 4 | Kazakhstan | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0:15 | 1 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wales | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 12 |
| 2 | Turkey | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:6 | 11 |
| 3 | Iceland | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:13 | 7 |
| 4 | Montenegro | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:9 | 3 |
Promotion - UEFA Nations League (League A)
Promotion - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League A/B)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 (Relegation - League B/C)
Relegation - UEFA Nations League (League C)
