Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finland W vs Serbia W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

World Cup Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Finland W Logo

Finland W

3 - 1
FT
Serbia W Logo

Serbia W

Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Koivisto E.
Assist: Lehtola N.
33'
Sub
Bulatovic M. In: Stefanovic D.
Out: Bulatovic M.
36' Event
Lindstrom L.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Finland W
15%
Draws
5%
Serbia W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Finland W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Finland W lately — more wins on the board than Serbia W.
  • Model gives Finland W a 80% chance of winning this.
  • Finland W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Finland W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Finland W Clean Sheet 68%
Serbia W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finland W Serbia W
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.59 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Serbia W
3:1
Jun 3, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Finland W vs Serbia W
1:1
Feb 21, 2025 UEFA Nations League Women
Serbia W vs Finland W
1:0
Jun 12, 2018 World Cup Women
Serbia W vs Finland W
0:2
Oct 22, 2017 World Cup Women
Finland W vs Serbia W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Koivisto E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lindstrom L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Serbia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Milivojevic V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finland W 95 / 100
Serbia W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finland W Serbia W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Finland W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Finland W stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Finland W found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (32 games).

Serbia W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Finland W VS Serbia W
1.75 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Finland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Finland W
3 : 1
Portugal W
05 Jun
Slovakia W
0 : 4
Finland W
18 Apr
Latvia W
0 : 1
Finland W
14 Apr
Finland W
4 : 2
Slovakia W
07 Mar
Finland W
3 : 1
Latvia W
Page 1 of 7

Serbia W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Italy W
3 : 0
Serbia W
18 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 0
Serbia W
14 Apr
Serbia W
0 : 6
Italy W
07 Mar
Serbia W
0 : 0
Sweden W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Slovakia W -
Ukraine W -
Greece W -
England W -
Finland W -
Serbia W -
Belarus W -
Italy W -
Northern Ireland W -
Portugal W -
Croatia W -
Iceland W -
Albania W -
Wales W -
Romania W -
Norway W -
Israel W -
Switzerland W -
Kosovo W -
Austria W -
Czech Republic W -
Scotland W -
Lithuania W -
Sweden W -
Belgium W -
Poland W -
Kazakhstan W 0
Ireland W 8
Turkey W -
Slovenia W -
Hungary W -
Netherlands W -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -