Sport Picks

Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park

Finn Harps

1 - 2

Athlone

Our Tip

Match Events

40'

Adewale D.

52'

Tourish C.

54'

Cleary C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Athlone in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Athlone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Finn Harps

44%

Draws

20%

Athlone

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Athlone have won more games recently than Finn Harps.
Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%

Finn Harps Clean Sheet 17%

Athlone Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Finn Harps	Athlone
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	6	7
Draws	8	8
Losses	14	13
Goals Scored	0.63	0.38
Goals Conceded	2.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	0.63	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 26, 2026 Division 1

Athlone vs Finn Harps

Possession: 51% - 58% Cards: 1 - 1

1:1

Apr 24, 2026 Division 1

Finn Harps vs Athlone

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Feb 13, 2026 Division 1

Athlone vs Finn Harps

Possession: 54% - 56% Cards: 1 - 1

2:1

Aug 22, 2025 Division 1

Finn Harps vs Athlone

Possession: 49% - 59% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Jun 20, 2025 Division 1

Athlone vs Finn Harps

Possession: 60% - 41% Cards: 3 - 1

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Top Goalscorer McAteer G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.48

Avg xA / game 0.32

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Cleary C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lomboto G.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 36 / 100

Athlone 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Finn Harps Athlone

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATH Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Finn Harps scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Athlone let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: Finn Harps remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Athlone

0.63 Goals Scored 0.38

2.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 38%

63% Over 2.5 25%

50% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	23	17	3	3	46:15	54
2	Bray	23	10	7	6	46:30	37
3	UC Dublin	23	11	3	9	36:27	36
4	Longford	23	8	7	8	27:30	31
5	Cobh Ramblers	23	9	4	10	25:32	31
6	Wexford	23	7	7	9	27:32	28
7	Athlone	23	7	6	10	21:27	27
8	Kerry	23	6	8	9	24:29	26
9	Treaty United	23	5	8	10	22:34	23
10	Finn Harps	23	5	7	11	20:38	22