Sport Picks
Finn Harps vs Avondale United Prediction & H2H Stats
Ireland
FAI Cup 2014 Finn Park, Ballybofey 
Match Events
11'
11'
McHugh K.
38'
38'
McNulty D.
60'
60'
McHugh K.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 4-1, with Finn Harps advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
15%
57%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Avondale United
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
28%
/ Low Confidence
- Avondale United carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Finn Harps's way, sitting at 60%.
- Avondale United arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Finn Harps, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 68%
Avondale United Clean Sheet 16%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Finn Harps | Avondale United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 25 |
| Wins | 6 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 4 |
| Losses | 20 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.94 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.03 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.92 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 17, 2014 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Avondale United
4:1
Sep 14, 2014 FAI Cup
Avondale United vs Finn Harps
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Finn Harps Compare
Top Goalscorer McHugh K.
2 Goals Assists Leader McNulty D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46
Avondale United Compare
Top Goalscorer Long R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Finn Harps 68 / 100
Avondale United 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Finn Harps Avondale United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Finn Harps Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Avondale United has conceded goals in 80% of their last 25 outings.
Games between these two average 3.50 goals.
Avondale United's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.
Finn Harps found the back of the net in 58% of recent matches (31 games).
Scoring Trends
Finn Harps VS -
0.63 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Finn Harps
(Home) 02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2 Kerry
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1 Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3 Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Athlone
Page 1 of 7
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2 Kerry
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Longford
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1 Athlone
21 Aug
Finn Harps
1 : 3 Cobh Ramblers
31 Jul
Finn Harps
0 : 3 Cork City
Page 1 of 4
Avondale United
(Away) 02 Sept
Avondale United
1 : 0 Bandon
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0 Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1 Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4 Avondale United
21 Apr
Avondale United
0 : 2 Pike Rovers
Page 1 of 5
21 Jul
Wexford
3 : 0 Avondale United
09 Aug
Drogheda
2 : 1 Avondale United
20 Apr
Newtown Rangers
3 : 4 Avondale United
04 Apr
Cobh Ramblers
2 : 0 Avondale United
31 May
Cobh Wanderers
3 : 3 Avondale United
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/32-finals
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Leixlip United 1
St. Patricks CY 2
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Cork City -
TBD -
TBD -
St Mochta's -
Limerick -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Avondale United 4
Carrigaline Utd 1
TBD -
Collinstown -
University College Cork 2
Swilly Rovers 1
St Francis 1
St. Michaels 2
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Bray -
Belgrove 1
Drumcondra FC 0
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Longford -
Galway United -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Sligo Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundalk -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Cockhill -
Phoenix 3
Bluebell Utd 2
TBD -
Ballynanty Rovers -
Malahide United 2
Tolka 1
TBD -
Mayfield Utd -
Cobh Ramblers -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
1/16-finals
St. Patricks 3
St. Patricks CY 0
Waterford 0
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 6
St Mochta's 0
Limerick 1
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Collinstown 0
University College Cork 2
St. Michaels 4
Wexford 1
Bray 0
Belgrove 0
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 4
Sheriff YC 0
Athlone 0
Longford 2
Galway United 3
UC Dublin 1
Sligo Rovers 0
Dundalk 3
Drogheda 4
Cockhill 2
Phoenix 1
Ballynanty Rovers 2
Malahide United 3
Mayfield Utd 1
Cobh Ramblers 0
Derry City 2
1/8-finals
St. Patricks 2
Shelbourne 1
Cork City 2
Bohemians 3
Avondale United 2
St. Michaels 0
Wexford 1
Finn Harps 2
Shamrock Rovers 3
Longford 0
Galway United 1
Dundalk 2
Drogheda 4
Ballynanty Rovers 0
Malahide United 0
Derry City 3
Quarter-finals
St. Patricks 3
Bohemians 2
Avondale United 2
Finn Harps 5
Shamrock Rovers 2
Dundalk 1
Drogheda 2
Derry City 7
Semi-finals
St. Patricks 6
Finn Harps 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Derry City 3
Final
St. Patricks 2
Derry City 0
