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Finn Harps vs Bray

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup Finn Park
Fri, Jul 17, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finn Harps host Bray in the FAI Cup. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Recent numbers: Finn Harps at 0.88 goals for, 2.38 against; Bray at 2.88 for, 1.75 against. Past meetings favor Finn Harps slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 4, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 2.63, favoring Bray. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Finn Harps
6%
Draws
90%
Bray
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Bray

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Bray have won more games recently than Finn Harps.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Bray taking it.
  • Cup games in FAI Cup usually bring a different intensity than the league.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
Bray Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Bray
Matches Played 32 36
Wins 8 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 4, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Bray
2:1
Apr 6, 2026 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
2:2
Sep 19, 2025 Division 1
Bray vs Finn Harps
3:2
Aug 15, 2025 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Bray
3:1
Aug 4, 2025 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Bray
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 10 / 100
Bray 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Bray

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bray let in goals in 81% of their last 36 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Finn Harps found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).

Solid form: Finn Harps remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Bray
0.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
TBD-
TBD-
Crumlin Utd4
Salthill0
Douglas Hall1
Fanad United0
Castlebar Celtic3
North End United0
TBD-
TBD-
Lucan Utd5
University College Cork2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liffey Wanderers1
Ringmahon Rangers2
TBD-
TBD-
Baldoyle Utd.2
Leicester Celtic AFC0
TBD-
TBD-
St. Patricks-
TBD-
TBD-
Wexford-
Waterford-
TBD-
TBD-
Cobh Ramblers-
Bangor Celtic4
River Valley Rangers1
College Corinthians2
Killester Donnycarney1
St. Michaels1
Janesboro3
TBD-
Sligo Rovers-
Athlone-
TBD-
Midleton2
Mayfield Utd0
Wayside Celtic3
St Mochta's4
TBD-
Dundalk-
Derry City-
TBD-
Fairview Rangers0
Tolka3
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Cork City-
Treaty United-
TBD-
TBD-
UC Dublin-
Kerry-
TBD-
TBD-
Shelbourne-
1/16-finals
Galway United-
Crumlin Utd-
Douglas Hall-
Castlebar Celtic-
Drogheda-
Lucan Utd-
Finn Harps-
Bray-
Ringmahon Rangers-
Bohemians-
Baldoyle Utd.-
Longford-
St. Patricks-
Wexford-
Waterford-
Cobh Ramblers-
Bangor Celtic-
College Corinthians-
Janesboro-
Sligo Rovers-
Athlone-
Midleton-
St Mochta's-
Dundalk-
Derry City-
Tolka-
Shamrock Rovers-
Cork City-
Treaty United-
UC Dublin-
Kerry-
Shelbourne-
1/8-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-