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Finn Harps vs Cork City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Finn Park, Ballybofey
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Sub
Tourish C. In: Cullen J.
Out: Tourish C.
35'
Bolger G.
35'
Harkin C.

AI Match Summary

Cork City in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cork City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Finn Harps
15%
Draws
57%
Cork City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Cork City have won more games recently than Finn Harps.
  • 57% — that's where the model lands on Cork City taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Cork City have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
Cork City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Cork City
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 4 17
Draws 4 4
Losses 21 9
Goals Scored 0.79 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.17 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 9, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Finn Harps
2:0
Jul 31, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:3
May 29, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Finn Harps
4:0
Apr 3, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Keating R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murphy C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 22 / 100
Cork City 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Cork City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:7
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cork City's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Finn Harps's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Cork City
1.25 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Finn Harps

(Home)
09 Oct
Cork City
2 : 0
Finn Harps
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

Cork City

(Away)
09 Oct
Cork City
2 : 0
Finn Harps
02 Oct
Athlone
2 : 1
Cork City
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 35 23 5 7 73:34 74
2 Bray 35 15 9 11 67:51 54
3 UC Dublin 35 15 8 12 62:49 53
4 Kerry 35 14 9 12 44:40 51
5 Longford 35 13 10 12 48:46 49
6 Cobh Ramblers 35 14 7 14 46:52 49
7 Athlone 35 13 9 13 42:42 48
8 Wexford 35 11 9 15 42:53 42
9 Treaty United 35 10 9 16 35:53 39
10 Finn Harps 35 6 7 22 31:70 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)