Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Finn Harps vs Crumlin Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2016 Finn Park, Ballybofey
Finn Harps Logo

Finn Harps

0 - 1
FT
Crumlin Utd Logo

Crumlin Utd

Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Moorhouse G.
64'
Molloy B.
64'
Molloy B.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Crumlin Utd in this FAI Cup 2016 tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Finn Harps
15%
Draws
64%
Crumlin Utd
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Crumlin Utd

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Crumlin Utd lately — more wins on the board than Finn Harps.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Crumlin Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Finn Harps, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Finn Harps here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finn Harps Crumlin Utd
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 1
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.77 1.59
Goals Conceded 2.03 1.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 21, 2016 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Crumlin Utd
0:1
Jun 4, 2010 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Crumlin Utd
3:0
May 27, 2006 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Crumlin Utd
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finn Harps Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Crumlin Utd Compare

Top Goalscorer Moorhouse G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finn Harps 30 / 100
Crumlin Utd 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finn Harps Crumlin Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crumlin Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Finn Harps's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Finn Harps remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Finn Harps VS Crumlin Utd
0.5 Goals Scored 2
2.13 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Finn Harps

(Home)
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
Page 1 of 6

Crumlin Utd

(Away)
17 Jul
Galway United
4 : 0
Crumlin Utd
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
18 Jul
Drogheda
5 : 0
Crumlin Utd
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2
Lucan Utd
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0
Bluebell Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Finn Harps -
TBD -
Greystones United 0
Crumlin Utd 1
Janesboro 4
St John Bosco 2
TBD -
Sheriff YC -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Wexford -
TBD -
TBD -
Firhouse -
Cabinteely -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Bohemians -
TBD -
TBD -
Galway United -
Drogheda -
TBD -
TBD -
Derry City -
St. Patricks -
TBD -
Rockmount 0
Pike Rovers 1
Bluebell Utd 5
Carrigaline Utd 0
TBD -
Limerick -
Ringmahon Rangers 4
Bandon 3
TBD -
Glebe North -
Cherry Orchard 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
TBD -
Cobh Ramblers -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Midleton -
Letterkenny Rovers 3
Portmarnock 2
TBD -
Athlone -
Longford -
TBD -
TBD -
Waterford -
Saint Peter's FC 2
Leeside 1
TBD -
Cork City -
1/16-finals
Dundalk 2
Shelbourne 0
Finn Harps 0
Crumlin Utd 1
Janesboro 2
Sheriff YC 1
Bray 3
UC Dublin 4
Wexford 3
Firhouse 0
Cabinteely 0
Sligo Rovers 3
Bohemians 2
Galway United 0
Drogheda 2
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 8
Pike Rovers 0
Bluebell Utd 2
Limerick 5
Ringmahon Rangers 2
Glebe North 1
Cherry Orchard 1
Cobh Ramblers 2
Shamrock Rovers 4
Midleton 0
Letterkenny Rovers 0
Athlone 1
Longford 2
Waterford 0
Saint Peter's FC 0
Cork City 4
1/8-finals
Dundalk 5
Crumlin Utd 0
Janesboro 1
UC Dublin 3
Wexford 2
Sligo Rovers 1
Bohemians 0
Derry City 2
St. Patricks 2
Limerick 0
Ringmahon Rangers 1
Cobh Ramblers 4
Shamrock Rovers 5
Athlone 0
Longford 1
Cork City 4
Quarter-finals
Dundalk 1
UC Dublin 0
Wexford 1
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 3
Cobh Ramblers 2
Shamrock Rovers 0
Cork City 5
Semi-finals
Dundalk 4
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 1
Cork City 3
Final
Dundalk 0
Cork City 1