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Finnsnes vs Fauske Sprint Prediction & H2H Stats

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Division 3 - Group 5
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Flogum H.
38' Event
Flogum H.
56' Event
Hranat R.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 5 game between Finnsnes and Fauske Sprint finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Finnsnes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Finnsnes
15%
Draws
64%
Fauske Sprint
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fauske Sprint

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Finnsnes have managed 1.75 goals a game lately — Fauske Sprint are scoring more at 2.55.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Fauske Sprint taking it.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 5 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 88%).
  • History favors Finnsnes here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 88%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 81.8%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%
Fauske Sprint Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finnsnes Fauske Sprint
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 12
Draws 2 5
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 1.75 2.55
Goals Conceded 2.14 3.21
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Fauske Sprint vs Finnsnes
1:3
Jun 20, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Finnsnes vs Fauske Sprint
5:1
Jul 28, 2001 Division 2 - Group 4
Finnsnes vs Fauske Sprint
2:1
Apr 28, 2001 Division 2 - Group 4
Fauske Sprint vs Finnsnes
7:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Finnsnes Compare

Top Goalscorer Flogum H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Asefa R.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Fauske Sprint Compare

Top Goalscorer Olsen J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finnsnes 18 / 100
Fauske Sprint 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finnsnes Fauske Sprint

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fauske Sprint Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Finnsnes scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Defensive concern: Fauske Sprint conceded in 100% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Solid form: Finnsnes remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Finnsnes VS Fauske Sprint
1.38 Goals Scored 3
2 Goals Conceded 3.63
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Finnsnes

(Home)
26 Sept
Finnsnes
2 : 0
Skjervoy
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
06 Sept
Stromsgodset 2
5 : 1
Finnsnes
30 Aug
Finnsnes
0 : 1
Lillestrom 2
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Fauske Sprint

(Away)
27 Sept
Fauske Sprint
0 : 3
Tromso 2
20 Sept
Lillestrom 2
2 : 4
Fauske Sprint
14 Sept
Fauske Sprint
5 : 3
Stromsgodset 2
05 Sept
Ulfstind
1 : 6
Fauske Sprint
30 Aug
Fauske Sprint
1 : 5
Alta
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