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Finnsnes vs Harstad - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 5
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Finnsnes host Harstad in the Division 3 - Group 5. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Recent numbers: Finnsnes at 1.71 goals for, 2.04 against; Harstad at 2.93 for, 1.7 against. Past meetings favor Finnsnes slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 5:1. xG projections (1.44 - 2.19) back Harstad to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Finnsnes
30%
Draws
47%
Harstad
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Harstad

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Finnsnes haven't matched Harstad's recent run of results.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 10%
Harstad Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Finnsnes Harstad
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 12 15
Draws 4 5
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.71 2.93
Goals Conceded 2.04 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 2.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Division 3 - Group 5
Harstad vs Finnsnes
5:1
Oct 26, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Finnsnes
1:5
Apr 13, 2019 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Harstad
0:0
Aug 11, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Harstad
1:1
Apr 21, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Harstad vs Finnsnes
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Finnsnes 34 / 100
Harstad 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Finnsnes Harstad

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harstad Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Finnsnes scored in 86% of their last 28 outings.

Harstad's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Finnsnes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Finnsnes VS Harstad
1.38 Goals Scored 2.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Finnsnes

(Home)
09 Oct
Finnsnes
2 : 2
Ulfstind
03 Oct
Tromso 2
1 : 1
Finnsnes
26 Sept
Finnsnes
2 : 0
Skjervoy
20 Sept
Floya
3 : 1
Finnsnes
12 Sept
Finnsnes
1 : 2
Alta
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Harstad

(Away)
11 Oct
Fauske Sprint
2 : 4
Harstad
04 Oct
Harstad
2 : 2
Skedsmo
27 Sept
Kongsvinger 2
2 : 1
Harstad
19 Sept
Harstad
3 : 1
Skjetten
12 Sept
Harstad
6 : 1
Ulfstind
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