Sport Picks
Match Events
67'
67'
Severinsen G.
(Penalty)
75'
75'
Whalen T.
86'
86'
Mikkelsen A.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Senja advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Finnsnes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Finnsnes come out ahead of Senja on wins alone.
- Model gives Finnsnes a 90% chance of winning this.
- Finnsnes have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Senja, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Senja have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Finnsnes Clean Sheet 12%
Senja Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Finnsnes | Senja |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 10 | 5 |
| Draws | 2 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 21 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.75 | 2.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 2.75 | 2.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 24, 2021 NM Cup
Finnsnes vs Senja
0:3
Oct 13, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Finnsnes vs Senja
0:1
Jun 22, 2018 Division 3 - Group 6
Senja vs Finnsnes
2:0
Apr 18, 2018 NM Cup
Senja vs Finnsnes
2:1
Apr 3, 2017 Club Friendly
Finnsnes vs Senja
5:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Finnsnes Compare
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Senja Compare
Top Goalscorer Whalen T.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mikkelsen A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Finnsnes 83 / 100
Senja 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Finnsnes Senja
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FIN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Finnsnes's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Senja has conceded goals in 93% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Finnsnes remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Finnsnes VS Senja
1.88 Goals Scored 0.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 50%
100% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Finnsnes
(Home) 25 Jul
Finnsnes
2 : 1 Stromsgodset 2
28 Jun
Alta
3 : 0 Finnsnes
20 Jun
Finnsnes
5 : 1 Fauske Sprint
14 Jun
Bossekop
1 : 1 Finnsnes
31 May
Finnsnes
1 : 0 Kongsvinger 2
Page 1 of 6
25 Jul
Finnsnes
2 : 1 Stromsgodset 2
20 Jun
Finnsnes
5 : 1 Fauske Sprint
31 May
Finnsnes
1 : 0 Kongsvinger 2
14 May
Finnsnes
2 : 1 Skjetten
10 May
Finnsnes
3 : 1 Tromso 2
Page 1 of 4
Senja
(Away) 10 Apr
Senja
1 : 6 Tromsdalen (TUIL)
23 Oct
Skjetten
2 : 2 Senja
16 Oct
Senja
0 : 0 Skjervoy
09 Oct
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0 Senja
01 Oct
Senja
2 : 1 Floya
Page 1 of 6
23 Oct
Skjetten
2 : 2 Senja
09 Oct
Mjondalen 2
1 : 0 Senja
25 Sept
Lillestrom 2
1 : 1 Senja
11 Sept
Gjellerasen
3 : 1 Senja
28 Aug
Stromsgodset 2
7 : 1 Senja
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Sola1
Madla IL0
Hinna0
Bryne4
Herd0
Hodd3
Spjelkavik1
Molde4
Ullern3
Asker1
Lyn0
Valerenga4
Flint1
Fram2
Eik-Tonsberg0
Odds BK1
Ardal0
Floro1
Fjora0
Sogndal3
Stord3
Haugesund2
Lysekloster1
Asane2
OS TF2
Oygarden FK6
Sandviken1
Fyllingsdalen2
Nordstrand3
Baerum2
Kvik Halden0
Sarpsborg 082
Vestfossen1
Moss3
Krakeroy0
Fredrikstad3
Akra3
V. Haugesund2
Brodd0
Sandnes Ulf3
Vidar2
Egersund1
IL Express0
Start8
Halsen1
Notodden5
Assiden0
Mjondalen3
Gjovik-Lyn2
Toten0
Brumunddal1
Ham-Kam2
Gjellerasen1
Eidsvold TF4
Nybergsund0
Raufoss1
Ready4
Grei0
Honefoss0
Stromsgodset2
Orn1
Ull/Kisa2
Follo0
Stabaek1
Kolstad0
Levanger5
Byasen3
Ranheim4
Sunndal0
Brattvag4
Traeff0
Aalesund4
Skjervoy0
Alta1
Skanland0
Tromso11
Junkeren2
Mjolner0
Rana FK1
Bodo/Glimt4
Verdal0
Nardo6
Ntnui0
Stjordals Blink6
Mandalskameratene1
Arendal2
Pors1
Sandefjord4
Lokomotiv Oslo0
Kjelsas1
Stovner2
Grorud5
Oppsal0
Skeid2
Funnefoss/Vormsund0
Lillestrom4
Floya4
Tromsdalen (TUIL)3
Frigg2
KFUM Oslo4
Tynset1
Tiller4
Volda2
Kristiansund4
Harstad2
Melbo0
Finnsnes0
Senja3
Fana2
Sotra1
Bjarg0
Brann5
Elverum1
Kongsvinger3
Lorenskog1
Strommen2
Vindbjart0
Flekkeroy1
Donn1
Jerv2
Vardeneset0
Djerv 19193
Staal Jorpeland2
Viking3
Strindheim2
Orkla4
Melhus0
Rosenborg7
1/32-finals
Sola0
Bryne6
Hodd1
Molde2
Ullern1
Valerenga3
Fram0
Odds BK1
Floro1
Sogndal5
Stord0
Asane4
Oygarden FK2
Fyllingsdalen1
Nordstrand0
Sarpsborg 083
Moss3
Fredrikstad1
Akra2
Sandnes Ulf3
Vidar0
Start2
Notodden0
Mjondalen3
Gjovik-Lyn0
Ham-Kam3
Eidsvold TF1
Raufoss3
Ready0
Stromsgodset1
Ull/Kisa0
Stabaek1
Levanger0
Ranheim2
Brattvag2
Aalesund3
Alta3
Tromso1
Junkeren1
Bodo/Glimt3
Nardo3
Stjordals Blink0
Arendal5
Sandefjord4
Kjelsas0
Grorud1
Skeid1
Lillestrom2
Floya1
KFUM Oslo5
Tiller1
Kristiansund5
Harstad3
Senja2
Fana0
Brann3
Kongsvinger3
Strommen0
Flekkeroy3
Jerv2
Djerv 19190
Viking2
Orkla1
Rosenborg11
1/16-finals
Bryne1
Molde4
Valerenga0
Odds BK3
Sogndal0
Asane2
Oygarden FK0
Sarpsborg 085
Moss1
Sandnes Ulf7
Start4
Mjondalen2
Ham-Kam1
Raufoss2
Stromsgodset5
Stabaek1
Ranheim1
Aalesund2
Alta1
Bodo/Glimt2
Nardo3
Arendal2
Grorud2
Lillestrom3
KFUM Oslo3
Kristiansund1
Harstad0
Brann5
Kongsvinger4
Flekkeroy1
Viking3
Rosenborg1
1/8-finals
Molde3
Odds BK2
Asane0
Sarpsborg 085
Sandnes Ulf2
Start0
Raufoss1
Stromsgodset2
Aalesund0
Bodo/Glimt3
Nardo0
Lillestrom4
KFUM Oslo1
Brann0
Kongsvinger0
Viking2
Quarter-finals
Molde4
Sarpsborg 082
Sandnes Ulf0
Stromsgodset4
Bodo/Glimt4
Lillestrom1
KFUM Oslo0
Viking5
Semi-finals
Molde3
Stromsgodset0
Bodo/Glimt2
Viking1
Final
Molde1
Bodo/Glimt0
