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Fiorentina U19 vs Septemvri Sofia U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the UEFA Youth League. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Fiorentina U19 have averaged 2 scored and 1.93 conceded recently, against Septemvri Sofia U19's 1.17 scored and 2.33 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.60 xG vs 1.50) point toward Fiorentina U19. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Fiorentina U19
20%
Draws
40%
Septemvri Sofia U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentina U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Fiorentina U19 a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Fiorentina U19 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Fiorentina U19 Clean Sheet 16%
Septemvri Sofia U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina U19 Septemvri Sofia U19
Matches Played 29 6
Wins 11 1
Draws 6 1
Losses 12 4
Goals Scored 2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina U19 36 / 100
Septemvri Sofia U19 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina U19 Septemvri Sofia U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fiorentina U19 scored in 93% of their last 29 outings.

Septemvri Sofia U19 has conceded goals in 83% of their last 6 outings.

Away concern: Septemvri Sofia U19 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Fiorentina U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina U19 VS Septemvri Sofia U19
2 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina U19

(Home)
05 Nov
Fiorentina U19
3 : 2
Legia U19
22 Oct
Legia U19
4 : 1
Fiorentina U19
20 Aug
Sassuolo U19
2 : 0
Fiorentina U19
14 Jul
Fiorentina
5 : 2
Fiorentina U19
17 May
Fiorentina U19
2 : 2
Sampdoria U19
Page 1 of 6

Septemvri Sofia U19

(Away)
07 Dec
Rangers U19
3 : 0
Septemvri Sofia U19
24 Nov
Septemvri Sofia U19
2 : 4
Rangers U19
19 Oct
Akademia Futbollit U19
1 : 1
Septemvri Sofia U19
29 Sept
Septemvri Sofia U19
3 : 0
Akademia Futbollit U19
24 Oct
Septemvri Sofia U19
1 : 5
Dynamo Kyiv U19
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Flora U19 7
HB Torshavn U19 1
TBD -
Chelsea U19 -
St. Patricks U19 -
TBD -
Thor Akureyri U19 3
Zalgiris U19 6
Hammarby U19 -
TBD -
Cliftonville U19 0
Super Nova U19 1
Legia U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Clermont U19 -
HJK U19 8
FC Ballkani U19 1
TBD -
Zilina U19 -
Stabaek U19 -
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University U19 4
UNA Strassen U19 1
Valletta U19 0
Partizani U19 6
TBD -
Hradec Kralove U19 -
MTK Budapest U19 -
TBD -
Mladost DG U19 1
Kairat Almaty U19 13
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 7
Din. Minsk U19 6
TBD -
FC Copenhagen U19 -
Fiorentina U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Septemvri Sofia U19 -
FC Santa Coloma U19 0
Brera Strumica U19 11
TBD -
Hoffenheim U19 -
PAOK U19 -
TBD -
Zrinjski U19 10
Lincoln Red Imps U19 1
Genk U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Salzburg U19 -
Bravo U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Crvena zvezda U19 -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Rangers U19 -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Goztepe U19 -
Qarabag Agdam U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Din. Zagreb U19 -
Benfica U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Pafos U19 -
F. Constanta U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 -
Zurich U19 -
TBD -
TBD -
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 -
Semi-finals
Flora U19 -
Chelsea U19 -
St. Patricks U19 -
Zalgiris U19 -
Hammarby U19 -
Super Nova U19 -
Legia U19 -
Clermont U19 -
HJK U19 -
Zilina U19 -
Stabaek U19 -
Cardiff Metropolitan University U19 -
Partizani U19 -
Hradec Kralove U19 -
MTK Budapest U19 -
Kairat Almaty U19 -
Dinamo Tbilisi U19 -
FC Copenhagen U19 -
Fiorentina U19 -
Septemvri Sofia U19 -
Brera Strumica U19 -
Hoffenheim U19 -
PAOK U19 -
Zrinjski U19 -
Genk U19 -
Salzburg U19 -
Bravo U19 -
Crvena zvezda U19 -
Dynamo Kyiv U19 -
Rangers U19 -
AZ Alkmaar U19 -
Goztepe U19 -
Qarabag Agdam U19 -
Din. Zagreb U19 -
Benfica U19 -
Pafos U19 -
F. Constanta U19 -
Sheriff Tiraspol U19 -
Zurich U19 -
Maccabi Tel Aviv U19 -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -