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Fiorentina U20 vs Bologna U20 Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

44'
Lai L.
50' Event
Braschi R.
58'
Sub
Lo Monaco L. In: Ravaglioli T.
Out: Lo Monaco L.

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina U20 in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 tie, finishing 2-0. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

15%
Fiorentina U20
20%
Draws
65%
Bologna U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Bologna U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Bologna U20 lately — more wins on the board than Fiorentina U20.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • Bologna U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiorentina U20, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Fiorentina U20 have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79%
Fiorentina U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Bologna U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina U20 Bologna U20
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.86 1.79
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Bologna U20
2:0
Mar 4, 2026 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Bologna U20
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Primavera 1
Bologna U20 vs Fiorentina U20
0:2
Jan 27, 2025 Primavera 1
Bologna U20 vs Fiorentina U20
1:3
Dec 1, 2024 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Bologna U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Braschi R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bertolini G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Bologna U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina U20 34 / 100
Bologna U20 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina U20 Bologna U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bologna U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U20's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Bologna U20 conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fiorentina U20 stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina U20 VS Bologna U20
1.5 Goals Scored 2
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Sept
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Empoli U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4
Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Verona U20
Page 1 of 6

Bologna U20

(Away)
20 Sept
Como U20
1 : 2
Bologna U20
12 Sept
Sassuolo U20
5 : 3
Bologna U20
04 Sept
Bologna U20
0 : 3
Inter U20
30 Aug
Cagliari U20
1 : 3
Bologna U20
23 Aug
Bologna U20
4 : 2
Atalanta U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Fiorentina U20 -
TBD -
AS Roma U20 1
Bologna U20 2
Parma U20 -
TBD -
Cesena U20 2
Inter U20 1
Semi-finals
Fiorentina U20 2
Bologna U20 0
Parma U20 2
Cesena U20 1
Final
Fiorentina U20 2
Parma U20 1