Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20

Italy Italy

Primavera 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Angiolini G. In: Kone M.
Out: Angiolini G.
46'
Sub
Bonanno P. In: Montenegro L.
Out: Bonanno P.
56' Event
Puzzoli G.

AI Match Summary

Fiorentina U20 in this Primavera 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Fiorentina U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fiorentina U20
30%
Draws
47%
Monza U20
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Monza U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentina U20 have won more games recently than Monza U20.
  • Win probability leans Fiorentina U20's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Fiorentina U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Fiorentina U20 Clean Sheet 16%
Monza U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina U20 Monza U20
Matches Played 34 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 1.79 1.06
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20
3:1
Sep 27, 2025 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Fiorentina U20
1:2
Apr 28, 2025 Primavera 1
Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20
1:2
Jan 8, 2025 Coppa Italia Primavera
Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20
1:0
Nov 25, 2024 Primavera 1
Monza U20 vs Fiorentina U20
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Puzzoli G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Trapani N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Monza U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Azarovs T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina U20 36 / 100
Monza U20 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina U20 Monza U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina U20 found the back of the net in 82% of recent matches (34 games).

Defensive concern: Monza U20 conceded in 75% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Monza U20 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina U20 VS Monza U20
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina U20

(Home)
19 Sept
Lecce U20
1 : 1
Fiorentina U20
13 Sept
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Empoli U20
09 Sept
Fiorentina U20
3 : 4
Atalanta U20
05 Sept
Genoa U20
3 : 3
Fiorentina U20
31 Aug
Fiorentina U20
0 : 1
Verona U20
Page 1 of 7

Monza U20

(Away)
19 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 3
Inter U20
12 Sept
Monza U20
2 : 2
Lecce U20
06 Sept
Verona U20
1 : 2
Monza U20
31 Aug
Monza U20
0 : 1
Genoa U20
22 Aug
AS Roma U20
3 : 2
Monza U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiorentina U20 38 19 11 8 70:48 68
2 Parma U20 38 19 11 8 59:38 68
3 Cesena U20 38 19 10 9 70:52 67
4 AS Roma U20 38 17 12 9 59:35 63
5 Bologna U20 38 17 11 10 54:40 62
6 Inter U20 38 16 11 11 70:61 59
7 Atalanta U20 38 14 15 9 54:47 57
8 Juventus U20 38 14 13 11 52:48 55
9 Lecce U20 38 14 12 12 54:53 54
10 Genoa U20 38 12 14 12 49:52 50
11 AC Milan U20 38 11 16 11 51:49 49
12 Verona U20 38 12 12 14 55:61 48
13 Torino U20 38 11 14 13 50:50 47
14 Monza U20 38 12 11 15 37:45 47
15 Lazio U20 38 12 11 15 44:51 47
16 Sassuolo U20 38 10 14 14 51:58 44
17 Napoli U20 38 10 10 18 39:55 40
18 Cagliari U20 38 10 9 19 49:62 39
19 Frosinone U20 38 8 11 19 47:76 35
20 Cremonese U20 38 6 6 26 31:64 24
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Primavera 1 2025/2026 (Play Out)
Relegation - Primavera 2 (Main)