Sport Picks
Fiorentina vs Atalanta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie A Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence 
AI Match Summary
Fiorentina host Atalanta in the Serie A. This one's hard to separate. Atalanta have shipped 1.43 goals a game lately, while Fiorentina have conceded 1.36 and scored 1.61. Past meetings favor Fiorentina slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 22, 2026, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.81, favoring Fiorentina. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Fiorentina have won more games recently than Atalanta.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentina | Atalanta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.61 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.36 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Fiorentina found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).
Atalanta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.
Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.
Fiorentina went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentina
(Home)Atalanta
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21:9 | 19 |
| 2 | Lazio | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 14:4 | 19 |
| 3 | AS Roma | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 16:3 | 17 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:7 | 15 |
| 5 | Como | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12:7 | 14 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | 13 |
| 7 | Cagliari | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | 13 |
| 8 | Juventus | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 11 |
| 9 | Napoli | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Torino | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 10:9 | 10 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 10:11 | 9 |
| 12 | Lecce | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 9:12 | 9 |
| 13 | Sassuolo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 12:14 | 8 |
| 14 | Monza | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 13:15 | 7 |
| 15 | Bologna | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | 5 |
| 16 | Udinese | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9:16 | 4 |
| 17 | Genoa | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8:17 | 4 |
| 19 | Parma | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | 4 |
| 20 | Venezia | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6:16 | 3 |
