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Fiorentina vs Frosinone - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Raimondo A.
24'
Bracaglia G.
24'
Jimenez A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A game between Fiorentina and Frosinone finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Frosinone.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fiorentina
20%
Draws
47%
Frosinone
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Frosinone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorentina haven't matched Frosinone's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Fiorentina Clean Sheet 12%
Frosinone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina Frosinone
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 9 8
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.61 2
Goals Conceded 1.21 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Frosinone
0:3
Feb 11, 2024 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Frosinone
5:1
Sep 28, 2023 Serie A
Frosinone vs Fiorentina
1:1
Apr 7, 2019 Serie A
Fiorentina vs Frosinone
0:1
Nov 9, 2018 Serie A
Frosinone vs Fiorentina
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Frosinone Compare

Top Goalscorer Raimondo A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bracaglia G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina 30 / 100
Frosinone 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina Frosinone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Frosinone has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Fiorentina has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina VS Frosinone
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina

(Home)
20 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 1
Napoli
15 Sept
Fiorentina
3 : 0
Pisa
11 Sept
Venezia
2 : 4
Fiorentina
05 Sept
Fiorentina
1 : 2
Torino
29 Aug
Fiorentina
0 : 3
Frosinone
Page 1 of 6

Frosinone

(Away)
02 Oct
Frosinone
2 : 1
Benevento
20 Sept
Frosinone
2 : 0
Como
12 Sept
Genoa
1 : 1
Frosinone
06 Sept
Frosinone
3 : 2
Venezia
02 Sept
Sassuolo
2 : 1
Frosinone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma 5 4 1 0 14:3 13
2 Inter 5 4 1 0 15:8 13
3 Lazio 5 4 1 0 8:3 13
4 Cagliari 5 4 0 1 5:2 12
5 AC Milan 5 3 2 0 10:4 11
6 Frosinone 5 3 1 1 9:4 10
7 Juventus 5 3 1 1 8:4 10
8 Como 5 3 1 1 9:6 10
9 Napoli 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
10 Sassuolo 5 2 1 2 9:9 7
11 Atalanta 5 2 0 3 5:7 6
12 Lecce 5 2 0 3 5:10 6
13 Udinese 5 1 1 3 8:11 4
14 Torino 5 1 1 3 5:8 4
15 Parma 5 1 1 3 4:7 4
16 Monza 5 1 1 3 8:12 4
17 Fiorentina 5 1 1 3 6:12 4
18 Bologna 5 0 2 3 3:6 2
19 Genoa 5 0 1 4 3:10 1
20 Venezia 5 0 0 5 4:13 0
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)