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Fiorentina W vs Napoli W Prediction & H2H Stats

Italy Italy

Serie A Women 2025/2026 Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Floe C.
Assist: Banusic M.
13'
Pettenuzzo T.
19' Event
Banusic M.
Assist: Floe C.

AI Match Summary

Napoli W in this Serie A Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Napoli W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Fiorentina W
15%
Draws
34%
Napoli W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentina W have won more games recently than Napoli W.
  • Model gives Fiorentina W a 51% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 20%
Napoli W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina W Napoli W
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 16 11
Draws 7 8
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Napoli W
1:2
Oct 4, 2025 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Fiorentina W
1:0
Nov 16, 2024 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Fiorentina W
0:0
Aug 30, 2024 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Napoli W
1:0
Jan 13, 2024 Serie A Women
Napoli W vs Fiorentina W
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Omarsdottir I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Napoli W Compare

Top Goalscorer Floe C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Banusic M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina W 85 / 100
Napoli W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina W Napoli W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentina W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina W's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Napoli W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Napoli W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina W VS Napoli W
2.38 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina W

(Home)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
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Napoli W

(Away)
26 Sept
Juventus W
3 : 1
Napoli W
06 Sept
Napoli W
1 : 0
Parma W
30 Aug
Inter W
6 : 0
Napoli W
23 Aug
Lazio W
4 : 2
Napoli W
17 May
Napoli W
1 : 1
Sassuolo W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AS Roma W 22 17 4 1 44:19 55
2 Inter W 22 13 5 4 49:26 44
3 Juventus W 22 11 6 5 33:19 39
4 Fiorentina W 22 10 6 6 33:30 36
5 Lazio W 22 10 3 9 31:30 33
6 AC Milan W 22 9 5 8 31:26 32
7 Napoli W 22 8 8 6 30:25 32
8 Como W 22 8 6 8 24:22 30
9 Sassuolo W 22 4 6 12 17:34 18
10 Ternana W 22 4 5 13 19:40 17
11 Parma W 22 2 10 10 16:31 16
12 Genoa W 22 2 4 16 18:43 10
Promotion - UEFA Champions League Women (League phase)
Relegation - Serie B Women (Main)