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Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie A Cup Women Curva Fiesole - Viola Park, Bagno a Ripoli
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Match Events

21' Event
Skupien K.
Assist: Clelland L.
32'
Sub
Johansen O. In: Lombardi E.
Out: Johansen O.
46'
Sub
Cherubini M. In: Filangeri M.
Out: Cherubini M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Fiorentina W
15%
Draws
42%
Sassuolo W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentina W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Fiorentina W come out ahead of Sassuolo W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Fiorentina W's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Fiorentina W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Fiorentina W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Fiorentina W Clean Sheet 18%
Sassuolo W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentina W Sassuolo W
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.42 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W
2:0
Aug 23, 2026 Serie A Cup Women
Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W
1:2
Feb 22, 2026 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W
3:2
Nov 2, 2025 Serie A Women
Sassuolo W vs Fiorentina W
0:1
Jan 19, 2025 Serie A Women
Fiorentina W vs Sassuolo W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fiorentina W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bredgaard S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Sassuolo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Skupien K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fadda P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentina W 67 / 100
Sassuolo W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentina W Sassuolo W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentina W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fiorentina W's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Sassuolo W has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Sassuolo W's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentina W VS Sassuolo W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentina W

(Home)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Inter W
2 : 0
Fiorentina W
05 Sept
AS Roma W
3 : 0
Fiorentina W
30 Aug
Fiorentina W
3 : 1
Ternana W
23 Aug
Fiorentina W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
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Sassuolo W

(Away)
03 Oct
Fiorentina W
2 : 0
Sassuolo W
27 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 3
AS Roma W
20 Sept
Moncalieri W
1 : 2
Sassuolo W
13 Sept
Sassuolo W
1 : 7
AS Roma W
05 Sept
Sassuolo W
2 : 0
Ternana W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter W 3 3 0 0 10:1 9
2 Lazio W 3 2 0 1 7:5 6
3 Napoli W 3 1 0 2 3:10 3
4 Parma W 3 0 0 3 0:4 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sassuolo W 3 3 0 0 5:1 9
2 AS Roma W 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
3 Fiorentina W 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
4 Ternana W 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus W 3 3 0 0 4:0 9
2 Como W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
3 AC Milan W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Como 1907 W 3 0 0 3 2:6 0
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie A Cup Women (Play Offs)