Sport Picks
Fiorentino vs AC Libertas Prediction & H2H Stats
San Marino
Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 Stadio di Fiorentino, Fiorentino 
Match Events
14'
14'
Michelotti R.
Assist: Quarta A.
18'
18'
Gjonaj A.
AI Match Summary
The Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 game between Fiorentino and AC Libertas finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AC Libertas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
31%
/ Low Confidence
- Fiorentino carry the better recent record into this one.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 68%
AC Libertas Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Fiorentino | AC Libertas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 9 |
| Draws | 2 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.41 | 1.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.94 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 21, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs AC Libertas
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Fiorentino
0:1
Mar 15, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs AC Libertas
1:2
Nov 24, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
AC Libertas vs Fiorentino
1:3
Mar 9, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs AC Libertas
4:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Fiorentino Compare
Top Goalscorer Gjonaj A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97
AC Libertas Compare
Top Goalscorer Michelotti R.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Fiorentino 41 / 100
AC Libertas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Fiorentino AC Libertas
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Fiorentino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AC Libertas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.40 goals.
Fiorentino scored in 72% of their last 29 games.
Fiorentino went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Fiorentino VS AC Libertas
1.38 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Fiorentino
(Home) 19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1 Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2 Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1 La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1 Virtus
22 Aug
Fiorentino
1 : 4 Tre Penne
05 May
Fiorentino
3 : 2 La Fiorita
Page 1 of 4
AC Libertas
(Away) 18 Sept
AC Libertas
1 : 1 SC Faetano
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
09 Sept
AC Libertas
0 : 2 Folgore
05 Sept
AC Libertas
2 : 1 Juvenes/Dogana
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Virtus
2 : 0 AC Libertas
29 Aug
SP Cosmos
1 : 1 AC Libertas
29 Apr
Juvenes/Dogana
1 : 1 AC Libertas
12 Apr
Tre Fiori
3 : 0 AC Libertas
21 Mar
Fiorentino
1 : 1 AC Libertas
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tre Fiori | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 63:13 | 73 |
| 2 | Virtus | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 76:20 | 72 |
| 3 | Tre Penne | 30 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 71:18 | 70 |
| 4 | La Fiorita | 30 | 17 | 11 | 2 | 64:25 | 57 |
| 5 | Folgore | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 67:33 | 57 |
| 6 | SP Domagnano | 30 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 59:36 | 49 |
| 7 | Fiorentino | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | 37:42 | 46 |
| 8 | SP Cosmos | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 30:23 | 42 |
| 9 | Juvenes/Dogana | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36:38 | 37 |
| 10 | AC Libertas | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32:63 | 35 |
| 11 | SS Pennarossa | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 29:53 | 32 |
| 12 | San Giovanni | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 24:43 | 31 |
| 13 | SC Faetano | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 22:55 | 22 |
| 14 | San Marino Academy U22 | 30 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 23:60 | 16 |
| 15 | Cailungo | 30 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 23:71 | 11 |
| 16 | SS Murata | 30 | 1 | 4 | 25 | 20:83 | -2 |
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
