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Fiorentino vs San Giovanni Prediction & H2H Stats

San Marino San Marino

Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 Stadio di Fiorentino, Fiorentino
Our Tip

Match Events

80' Event
D'Angeli E.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

San Giovanni in this Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Giovanni.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Fiorentino
15%
Draws
36%
San Giovanni
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fiorentino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Fiorentino have won more games recently than San Giovanni.
  • Fiorentino are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Fiorentino Clean Sheet 68%
San Giovanni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorentino San Giovanni
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 9
Draws 2 8
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.37 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2026 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs San Giovanni
0:1
Sep 20, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Fiorentino
1:1
Jan 21, 2025 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs San Giovanni
0:2
Sep 15, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
San Giovanni vs Fiorentino
0:1
Feb 21, 2024 Campionato Sammarinese
Fiorentino vs San Giovanni
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorentino 86 / 100
San Giovanni 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorentino San Giovanni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fiorentino Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

San Giovanni's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

Fiorentino found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: San Giovanni registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorentino VS San Giovanni
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorentino

(Home)
19 Sept
SS Pennarossa
3 : 1
Fiorentino
11 Sept
Fiorentino
1 : 1
La Fiorita
08 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Tre Fiori
04 Sept
Fiorentino
0 : 1
Virtus
28 Aug
San Marino Academy U22
0 : 2
Fiorentino
Page 1 of 6

San Giovanni

(Away)
20 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 3
Cailungo
12 Sept
SS Murata
0 : 2
San Giovanni
08 Sept
San Giovanni
0 : 1
SP Cosmos
04 Sept
SP Domagnano
4 : 0
San Giovanni
29 Aug
San Giovanni
2 : 3
Tre Penne
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tre Fiori 30 22 7 1 63:13 73
2 Virtus 30 22 6 2 76:20 72
3 Tre Penne 30 21 7 2 71:18 70
4 La Fiorita 30 17 11 2 64:25 57
5 Folgore 30 16 9 5 67:33 57
6 SP Domagnano 30 14 7 9 59:36 49
7 Fiorentino 30 14 4 12 37:42 46
8 SP Cosmos 30 11 9 10 30:23 42
9 Juvenes/Dogana 30 9 10 11 36:38 37
10 AC Libertas 30 9 8 13 32:63 35
11 SS Pennarossa 30 8 8 14 29:53 32
12 San Giovanni 30 7 10 13 24:43 31
13 SC Faetano 30 6 4 20 22:55 22
14 San Marino Academy U22 30 3 7 20 23:60 16
15 Cailungo 30 2 5 23 23:71 11
16 SS Murata 30 1 4 25 20:83 -2
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campionato Sammarinese 2025/2026 (Play Offs)