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Fiorenzuola vs Rovato Vertovese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B Stadio comunale, Fiorenzuola d'Arda
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Fiorenzuola host Rovato Vertovese in the Serie D - Group B. Little to choose between these two on current form. Rovato Vertovese have shipped 1 goals a game lately, while Fiorenzuola have conceded 1.45 and scored 0.55. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (1.06 xG vs 1.19) point toward Rovato Vertovese. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Fiorenzuola
35%
Draws
43%
Rovato Vertovese
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Rovato Vertovese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Fiorenzuola haven't matched Rovato Vertovese's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Fiorenzuola Clean Sheet 20%
Rovato Vertovese Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fiorenzuola Rovato Vertovese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 5 10
Losses 20 9
Goals Scored 0.55 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.45 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fiorenzuola 32 / 100
Rovato Vertovese 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fiorenzuola Rovato Vertovese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rovato Vertovese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Fiorenzuola stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Fiorenzuola's goal record stands at 41% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Rovato Vertovese lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fiorenzuola VS Rovato Vertovese
0.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 2
25% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fiorenzuola

(Home)
10 Oct
Fiorenzuola
0 : 0
Piacenza
04 Oct
Villa Valle
0 : 0
Fiorenzuola
27 Sept
Fiorenzuola
1 : 1
Caldiero Terme
20 Sept
Brusaporto
1 : 0
Fiorenzuola
16 Sept
Fiorenzuola
0 : 1
Pro Palazzolo
Page 1 of 6

Rovato Vertovese

(Away)
11 Oct
AC Milan U23
1 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
04 Oct
Rovato Vertovese
0 : 1
Real Calepina
27 Sept
Tritium
2 : 2
Rovato Vertovese
20 Sept
Rovato Vertovese
2 : 2
AC Leon
16 Sept
Virtus Verona
1 : 1
Rovato Vertovese
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nibbiano & Valtidone 7 6 0 1 11:3 18
2 Chievo 7 5 1 1 15:7 16
3 AC Leon 7 3 3 1 12:7 12
4 Caldiero Terme 7 3 3 1 12:9 12
5 Piacenza 6 3 2 1 10:4 11
6 Villa Valle 7 2 4 1 9:6 10
7 Pro Palazzolo 7 3 1 3 7:10 10
8 Ciserano-Bergamo 7 2 3 2 9:8 9
9 AC Milan U23 5 3 0 2 9:9 9
10 Brusaporto 7 3 0 4 7:9 9
11 Virtus Verona 7 2 3 2 6:8 9
12 Real Calepina 7 2 2 3 11:12 8
13 Scanzorosciate 7 2 2 3 6:8 8
14 Club Milano 7 2 1 4 5:7 7
15 Pavonese 6 2 1 3 5:9 7
16 Rovato Vertovese 7 1 3 3 10:13 6
17 Fiorenzuola 7 0 3 4 1:7 3
18 Tritium 7 0 2 5 7:16 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group B (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group B (Play Out)