Sport Picks

Stadium Background

First Vienna vs Sturm II

Austria Austria

2. Liga Hohe Warte Stadium, Vienna
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Zimmermann B.
36'
Sub
Luxbacher B. In: Mrzljak F.
Out: Luxbacher B.
37' Event
Fillafer M.
Assist: Marte R.

AI Match Summary

The 2. Liga game between First Vienna and Sturm II finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward First Vienna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
First Vienna
15%
Draws
26%
Sturm II
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: First Vienna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and First Vienna come out ahead of Sturm II on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans First Vienna's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular 2. Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
First Vienna Clean Sheet 20%
Sturm II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric First Vienna Sturm II
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 7 3
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.61 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 2. Liga
First Vienna vs Sturm II
4:0
Apr 12, 2026 2. Liga
First Vienna vs Sturm II
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 2. Liga
Sturm II vs First Vienna
0:2
Apr 29, 2025 2. Liga
Sturm II vs First Vienna
4:1
Oct 4, 2024 2. Liga
First Vienna vs Sturm II
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

First Vienna Compare

Top Goalscorer Zimmermann B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fillafer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.07
Avg xA / game 1.34

Sturm II Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

First Vienna 85 / 100
Sturm II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
First Vienna Sturm II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick First Vienna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sturm II conceded in 86% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

First Vienna found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

First Vienna has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

First Vienna VS Sturm II
2.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

First Vienna

(Home)
08 Aug
A. Salzburg
4 : 1
First Vienna
01 Aug
First Vienna
4 : 0
Sturm II
25 Jul
Mattersburg SV 2020
1 : 2
First Vienna
18 Jul
Hartberg
2 : 0
First Vienna
11 Jul
First Vienna
0 : 0
QPR
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Sturm II

(Away)
08 Aug
Sturm II
4 : 2
Floridsdorfer AC Wien
01 Aug
First Vienna
4 : 0
Sturm II
25 Jul
Lok. Zagreb
4 : 0
Sturm II
24 Jul
Gleisdorf
2 : 1
Sturm II
19 Jul
Sturm II
1 : 2
Al Hilal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 BW Linz 3 3 0 0 7:0 9
2 A. Salzburg 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
3 Rapid Vienna II 3 2 0 1 4:4 6
4 ASK Voitsberg 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
5 Amstetten 2 1 1 0 3:2 4
6 Wacker Innsbruck 2 1 0 1 5:3 3
7 First Vienna 2 1 0 1 5:4 3
8 Hogo Hertha Wels 3 1 0 2 4:6 3
9 Sturm II 2 1 0 1 4:6 3
10 Austria Vienna (Am) 2 1 0 1 1:3 3
11 FC Liefering 2 1 0 1 6:3 3
12 Floridsdorfer AC Wien 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
13 SW Bregenz 2 1 0 1 3:7 3
14 Admira 2 0 0 2 1:3 0
15 St. Polten 3 0 0 3 0:3 0
16 Kapfenberg 2 0 0 2 2:7 0
Promotion - Bundesliga 2027/2028 (Main)