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Stadium Background

First Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Austria Austria

Bundesliga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Riedler J.
30'
Wasser C.
50' Event
Havel L.
Assist: Fankhauser H.

AI Match Summary

The Bundesliga Women game between First Vienna W and Sturm Graz W finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
First Vienna W
20%
Draws
64%
Sturm Graz W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sturm Graz W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Sturm Graz W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Sturm Graz W are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
First Vienna W Clean Sheet 10%
Sturm Graz W Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric First Vienna W Sturm Graz W
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.78 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.63 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 21, 2026 Bundesliga Women
First Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
1:1
Feb 14, 2026 OFB Cup Women
First Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
1:2
Nov 7, 2025 Bundesliga Women
Sturm Graz W vs First Vienna W
3:2
Aug 29, 2025 Bundesliga Women
First Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
3:5
May 17, 2025 Bundesliga Women
First Vienna W vs Sturm Graz W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

First Vienna W Compare

Top Goalscorer Havel L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Sturm Graz W Compare

Top Goalscorer Pavlovic S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

First Vienna W 18 / 100
Sturm Graz W 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
First Vienna W Sturm Graz W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sturm Graz W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

First Vienna W found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (27 games).

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Sturm Graz W let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Sturm Graz W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

First Vienna W VS Sturm Graz W
1.13 Goals Scored 2.63
2.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

First Vienna W

(Home)
03 Oct
Salzburg W
3 : 1
First Vienna W
26 Sept
First Vienna W
2 : 3
LASK Linz W
20 Sept
SCR Altach W
4 : 0
First Vienna W
12 Sept
First Vienna W
1 : 4
St. Polten W
29 Aug
First Vienna W
1 : 1
Austria Vienna W
Page 1 of 6

Sturm Graz W

(Away)
04 Oct
St. Polten W
2 : 2
Sturm Graz W
30 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Wolfsburg W
27 Sept
Sturm Graz W
0 : 2
Austria Vienna W
23 Sept
Wolfsburg W
6 : 1
Sturm Graz W
18 Sept
Sturm Graz W
2 : 0
Rapid Vienna W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 St. Polten W 8 7 1 0 27:4 22
2 Sturm Graz W 9 6 2 1 22:8 20
3 Austria Vienna W 8 6 1 1 25:2 19
4 SCR Altach W 8 5 1 2 19:13 16
5 Salzburg W 9 4 1 4 9:15 13
6 LASK Linz W 9 2 2 5 9:15 8
7 First Vienna W 9 1 4 4 12:20 7
8 Rapid Vienna W 8 1 3 4 8:17 6
9 FC Sudburgenland W 9 1 2 6 6:24 5
10 Union Kleinmunchen W 9 1 1 7 5:24 4
Promotion - Bundesliga Women (Championship Group)
Relegation - Bundesliga Women (Relegation Group)