Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2016/2017

Killymoon

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Irish Cup 2016/2017. Expect goals in this one — both sides have been finding the net. Killymoon have shipped 2.58 goals a game lately, while Fivemiletown have conceded 2.81 and scored 2.31. Past meetings favor Fivemiletown slightly — 0-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 20, 2016, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 3.13 vs 1.75, favoring Fivemiletown. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%

Fivemiletown

15%

Draws

Killymoon

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Fivemiletown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence

Fivemiletown average 2.31 goals a game right now, well clear of Killymoon's 1.42.
Fivemiletown are the model's pick here, at 90%.
Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 80%

Over 3.5 Goals 75%

Over 4.5 Goals 34%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%

Fivemiletown Clean Sheet 12%

Killymoon Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fivemiletown	Killymoon
Matches Played	16	31
Wins	7	7
Draws	0	6
Losses	9	18
Goals Scored	2.31	1.42
Goals Conceded	2.81	2.58
Expected Goals (xG)	3.13	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2016 Irish Cup

Fivemiletown vs Killymoon

0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fivemiletown 83 / 100

Killymoon 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fivemiletown Killymoon

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Fivemiletown Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fivemiletown scored in 87% of their last 15 outings.

Killymoon let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Away concern: Killymoon has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 0.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Fivemiletown VS Killymoon

2.88 Goals Scored 1.25

2.25 Goals Conceded 3.38

88% Over 1.5 75%

88% Over 2.5 75%

75% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Fivemiletown

(Home)

25 Nov

Fivemiletown

0 : 5

Strabane Athletic

17 Aug

Fivemiletown

2 : 3

Ardstraw

03 Nov

Fivemiletown

1 : 2

Tullycarnet

29 Sept

Wakehurst

2 : 3

Fivemiletown

18 Aug

Fivemiletown

7 : 0

Bloomfield

Page 1 of 4

Killymoon

(Away)

20 Aug

Fivemiletown

Killymoon

22 Aug

Seapatrick

1 : 0

Killymoon

07 Dec

Harland & Wolff

8 : 1

Killymoon

13 Aug

Killymoon

3 : 4

Lurgan Celtic

12 Jan

Killymoon

1 : 4

Glentoran

Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

TBD -

Nortel -

St. Marys -

TBD -

Donegal 1

Oxford Stars 3

Glebe 4

Iveagh Utd 0

Portaferry Rovers 2

Silverwood 3

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Moyola 3

Craigavon City 1

Grove 6

Sport & Leisure 3

Ballynahinch Olympic 2

Markethill 4

St. Patricks Young 5

Lurgan Town Boys 2

Laurelvale 1

TBD -

Ards Rangers -

Abbey Villa 5

Holywood 0

Saintfield 0

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Crewe 5

Chimney 0

TBD -

Ardglass -

Crumlin United 4

Shankill 0

TBD -

Ballymoney -

Sofia Farmer 2

Lower Maze 1

Banbridge 0

Limavady 2

Donard -

TBD -

Tullyvallen Rangers 0

Windmill 5

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 4

Rosario Youth 0

Dromore Amateurs 0

Queens University 14

Ballynure Old Boys 4

Foundry 1

TBD -

Lisburn Rangers -

Comber Rec 4

Brantwood 3

Ballywalter Recreation 1

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC -

TBD -

St Luke's -

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts -

TBD -

Wellington Rec 0

Dunloy 3

Strabane Athletic -

TBD -

Dundonald 2

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst -

TBD -

Larne Technical Old Boys -

Desertmartin 2

Newcastle 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown -

Killymoon -

Hanover 2

Sirocco 3

Newry City 7

Oxford Sunnyside 0

Bangor FC 2

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 4

Rathfern Rangers 0

Dungannon Rovers 0

U. U. Jordanstown 4

Barn -

TBD -

Dundela -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness -

TBD -

Bloomfield 3

Seapatrick 4

Camlough -

TBD -

Dromara -

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys -

Bangor Amateurs FC -

TBD -

Ballynahinch United -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Immaculata 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart -

TBD -

Magherafelt 1

Moneyslane FC 6

Islandmagee 4

Ballymacash 1

TBD -

Killyleagh Youth -

Valley Rangers 3

Newtowne FC 1

TBD -

Seagoe -

Coagh Utd 2

Malachians 1

Banbridge Rangers 4

Derriaghy 5

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/128-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill -

Nortel -

St. Marys 4

Oxford Stars 5

Glebe 3

Silverwood 2

Rathfriland Rangers 4

Grove 5

Sport & Leisure 2

St. Patricks Young 1

Lurgan Town Boys 0

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 4

Dungiven 1

Newbuildings 2

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 5

Ardglass 1

Crumlin United 2

Ballymoney 3

Sofia Farmer 2

Limavady 0

Donard -

Windmill -

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Queens University 0

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Lisburn Rangers 4

Comber Rec 5

Ardstraw 2

Mossley FC 1

St Luke's 4

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 8

Dunloy 0

Strabane Athletic 4

East Belfast 5

Wakehurst 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Desertmartin 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Sirocco 1

Newry City 1

Newington FC 3

Downshire Y.M. 3

U. U. Jordanstown 2

Barn 1

Dundela 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Seapatrick 0

Camlough 0

Dromara 5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2

Ballynahinch United 1

Crumlin Star 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 2

Moneyslane FC 0

Islandmagee 5

Killyleagh Youth 3

Valley Rangers 7

Seagoe 0

Coagh Utd 1

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/64-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 1

Oxford Stars 0

Glebe 0

Grove 1

Sport & Leisure 3

Ards Rangers 2

Abbey Villa 2

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 3

Ballymoney 1

Sofia Farmer 0

Windmill 2

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 1

Lisburn Rangers 0

Comber Rec 2

St Luke's 3

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 2

East Belfast 0

Wakehurst 1

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 5

Newington FC 4

Downshire Y.M. 2

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 2

Dromara 1

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 1

Trojans 2

Portstewart 5

Killyleagh Youth 0

Valley Rangers 0

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/32-finals

Dungannon -

TBD -

Dergview -

Richhill 6

Grove 2

Sport & Leisure 1

Dollingstown 3

Crewe 4

Windmill 3

TBD -

Knockbreda -

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Crusaders -

TBD -

Ards -

Lisburn Distillery 3

St Luke's 0

TBD -

PSNI -

Institute -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Linfield -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Annagh -

TBD -

Shorts 0

Tobermore 6

Harland & Wolff -

TBD -

Lurgan Celtic -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Ballymena -

Portadown -

TBD -

Larne -

Fivemiletown 4

Dundela 3

TBD -

Loughgall -

Armagh -

TBD -

Drumaness 1

Trojans 3

Portstewart 4

Derriaghy 2

TBD -

Glenavon -

1/16-finals

Dungannon 3

Dergview 0

Richhill 1

Dollingstown 4

Crewe 2

Knockbreda 1

Ballinamallard 0

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 2

Ards 0

Lisburn Distillery 1

PSNI 2

Institute 4

Ballyclare 2

Glentoran 1

Linfield 2

Coleraine 5

Carrick Rangers 1

Annagh 0

Tobermore 2

Harland & Wolff 1

Lurgan Celtic 0

Cliftonville 1

Ballymena 2

Portadown 2

Larne 1

Fivemiletown 0

Loughgall 3

Armagh 2

Trojans 1

Portstewart 1

Glenavon 4

1/8-finals

Dungannon 4

Dollingstown 1

Crewe 0

Warrenpoint 5

Crusaders 2

PSNI 0

Institute 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 1

Tobermore 0

Harland & Wolff 1

Ballymena 3

Portadown 2

Loughgall 1

Armagh 0

Glenavon 2

Quarter-finals

Dungannon 2

Warrenpoint 1

Crusaders 0

Linfield 2

Coleraine 4

Ballymena 0

Portadown 0

Glenavon 5

Semi-finals

Dungannon 0

Linfield 1

Coleraine 2

Glenavon 1

Final

Linfield 3

Coleraine 0

Fivemiletown vs Killymoon

Northern Ireland

Fivemiletown

Killymoon

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Fivemiletown

Killymoon

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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