Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2015/2016

Fivemiletown

2 - 3

St. Marys

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with St. Marys advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Fivemiletown

Draws

St. Marys

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fivemiletown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Fivemiletown come out ahead of St. Marys on wins alone.
90% — that's where the model lands on Fivemiletown taking it.
Fivemiletown have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor St. Marys, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 37%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 84.2%

Fivemiletown Clean Sheet 10%

St. Marys Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fivemiletown	St. Marys
Matches Played	16	8
Wins	7	2
Draws	0	0
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	2.88	1.75
Goals Conceded	2.25	3.25
Expected Goals (xG)	2.88	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	3.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2015 Irish Cup

Fivemiletown vs St. Marys

2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fivemiletown 83 / 100

St. Marys 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fivemiletown St. Marys

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Fivemiletown scored in 87% of their last 15 outings.

Defensive concern: St. Marys conceded in 100% of 8 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.00 goals as a typical output.

St. Marys lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fivemiletown VS St. Marys

2.88 Goals Scored 1.75

2.25 Goals Conceded 3.25

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 88%

75% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Fivemiletown

(Home)

25 Nov

Fivemiletown

0 : 5

Strabane Athletic

17 Aug

Fivemiletown

2 : 3

Ardstraw

03 Nov

Fivemiletown

1 : 2

Tullycarnet

29 Sept

Wakehurst

2 : 3

Fivemiletown

18 Aug

Fivemiletown

7 : 0

Bloomfield

Page 1 of 4

St. Marys

(Away)

07 Jan

Knockbreda

2 : 0

St. Marys

17 Aug

St. Marys

1 : 3

East Belfast

19 Aug

Bryansburn

3 : 1

St. Marys

01 Oct

St. Marys

4 : 5

Oxford Stars

07 Nov

Ards Rangers

4 : 1

St. Marys

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Linfield-

TBD-

Ballymena-

Portstewart-

TBD-

Moyola-

Lisburn Rangers3

Dromore Amateurs0

Bloomfield1

Desertmartin4

Ballywalter Recreation4

Iveagh Utd2

Foundry0

Tandragee1

TBD-

Armagh-

Sport & Leisure-

TBD-

Dergview-

Newtowne FC5

Dungiven1

TBD-

Groomsport-

Newcastle3

Ballynahinch Olympic2

Colin Valley1

Dromara2

TBD-

Institute-

Immaculata2

Bangor Old Boys1

Laurelvale1

Dunmurry Y.M.8

Rathcoole3

Ballymacash2

Craigavon City3

Lower Maze4

TBD-

Dundela-

TBD-

Cliftonville-

Portadown-

TBD-

Glebe-

TBD-

Wakehurst-

Ballinamallard-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Knockbreda-

TBD-

Lisburn Distillery-

Dollingstown-

TBD-

Annagh-

Bangor FC-

TBD-

Coagh Utd-

Ardglass2

Saintfield1

Bryansburn2

Killyleagh Youth3

Malachians1

Grove0

Windmill0

Comber Rec3

TBD-

Lurgan Celtic-

Glenavon-

TBD-

Wellington Rec1

Lurgan Town Boys0

Oxford Sunnyside2

Rosario Youth7

Rathfern Rangers4

Richhill2

Ballynahinch United2

Valley Rangers4

TBD-

Harland & Wolff-

Ards-

TBD-

Donegal-

TBD-

Glentoran-

PSNI-

TBD-

Newington FC-

Queens University-

TBD-

Tobermore-

Larne-

TBD-

Limavady-

Trojans2

Islandmagee1

Orangefield Old Boys'1

Derriaghy4

Seapatrick1

Killymoon0

Portaferry Rovers0

Banbridge Rangers3

TBD-

Loughgall-

Carrick Rangers-

TBD-

Crumlin United3

Nortel2

TBD-

Seagoe-

Moneyslane FC2

Barn1

Chimney3

Downshire Y.M.4

TBD-

Banbridge-

Oxford Stars-

TBD-

Larne Technical Old Boys-

Shankill4

Donard2

Markethill1

St. Patricks Young2

St. Marys3

Fivemiletown2

TBD-

Downpatrick-

Strabane Athletic11

Kilmore Rec0

East Belfast1

Ards Rangers2

Ballyclare-

TBD-

Dundonald3

Broomhill2

Drumaness1

Dunloy4

Newry City5

Ardstraw1

Shorts0

Crumlin Star3

Dungannon-

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Rathfriland Rangers-

TBD-

Newbuildings2

Crewe3

Brantwood2

Magherafelt1

Ballynure Old Boys1

Sirocco2

Dunmurry Rec-

TBD-

Ballymoney1

Hanover5

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys3

Mossley FC1

U. U. Jordanstown1

Abbey Villa4

TBD-

Crusaders-

1/128-finals

Linfield-

TBD-

Ballymena-

Portstewart-

TBD-

Moyola-

Lisburn Rangers2

Desertmartin1

Ballywalter Recreation0

Tandragee4

TBD-

Armagh-

Sport & Leisure-

TBD-

Dergview-

Newtowne FC4

Groomsport1

Newcastle1

Dromara2

TBD-

Institute-

Immaculata10

Dunmurry Y.M.0

Rathcoole1

Lower Maze2

TBD-

Dundela-

TBD-

Cliftonville-

Portadown-

TBD-

Glebe-

TBD-

Wakehurst-

Ballinamallard-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Knockbreda-

TBD-

Lisburn Distillery-

Dollingstown-

TBD-

Annagh-

Bangor FC-

TBD-

Coagh Utd-

Ardglass3

Killyleagh Youth1

Malachians0

Comber Rec1

TBD-

Lurgan Celtic-

Glenavon-

TBD-

Wellington Rec2

Rosario Youth1

Rathfern Rangers1

Valley Rangers3

TBD-

Harland & Wolff-

Ards-

TBD-

Donegal-

TBD-

Glentoran-

PSNI-

TBD-

Newington FC-

Queens University-

TBD-

Tobermore-

Larne-

TBD-

Limavady-

Trojans6

Derriaghy1

Seapatrick0

Banbridge Rangers2

TBD-

Loughgall-

Carrick Rangers-

TBD-

Crumlin United9

Seagoe1

Moneyslane FC2

Downshire Y.M.4

TBD-

Banbridge-

Oxford Stars3

Larne Technical Old Boys2

Shankill1

St. Patricks Young4

St. Marys3

Downpatrick1

Strabane Athletic1

Ards Rangers4

Ballyclare-

TBD-

Dundonald10

Dunloy2

Newry City1

Crumlin Star2

Dungannon-

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Rathfriland Rangers1

Crewe0

Brantwood2

Sirocco3

Dunmurry Rec5

Hanover3

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys1

Abbey Villa3

TBD-

Crusaders-

1/64-finals

Linfield-

TBD-

Ballymena-

Portstewart-

TBD-

Moyola-

Lisburn Rangers3

Tandragee0

TBD-

Armagh-

Sport & Leisure-

TBD-

Dergview-

Newtowne FC3

Dromara2

TBD-

Institute-

Immaculata4

Lower Maze2

TBD-

Dundela-

TBD-

Cliftonville-

Portadown-

TBD-

Glebe-

TBD-

Wakehurst-

Ballinamallard-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Knockbreda-

TBD-

Lisburn Distillery-

Dollingstown-

TBD-

Annagh-

Bangor FC-

TBD-

Coagh Utd-

Ardglass4

Comber Rec3

TBD-

Lurgan Celtic-

Glenavon-

TBD-

Wellington Rec2

Valley Rangers0

TBD-

Harland & Wolff-

Ards-

TBD-

Donegal-

TBD-

Glentoran-

PSNI-

TBD-

Newington FC-

Queens University-

TBD-

Tobermore-

Larne-

TBD-

Limavady-

Trojans5

Banbridge Rangers1

TBD-

Loughgall-

Carrick Rangers-

TBD-

Crumlin United3

Downshire Y.M.2

TBD-

Banbridge-

Oxford Stars1

St. Patricks Young0

St. Marys1

Ards Rangers4

Ballyclare-

TBD-

Dundonald0

Crumlin Star5

Dungannon-

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Rathfriland Rangers4

Sirocco2

Dunmurry Rec1

Abbey Villa2

TBD-

Crusaders-

1/32-finals

Linfield-

TBD-

Ballymena-

Portstewart3

Moyola1

Lisburn Rangers0

Armagh3

Sport & Leisure6

Dergview1

Newtowne FC1

Institute2

Immaculata2

Dundela0

TBD-

Cliftonville-

Portadown-

TBD-

Glebe1

Wakehurst2

Ballinamallard-

TBD-

Coleraine-

Knockbreda3

Lisburn Distillery2

Dollingstown1

Annagh2

Bangor FC5

Coagh Utd0

Ardglass0

Lurgan Celtic4

Glenavon-

TBD-

Wellington Rec2

Harland & Wolff3

Ards7

Donegal0

TBD-

Glentoran-

PSNI2

Newington FC1

Queens University1

Tobermore2

Larne2

Limavady0

Trojans1

Loughgall2

Carrick Rangers-

TBD-

Crumlin United3

Banbridge4

Oxford Stars3

Ards Rangers2

Ballyclare0

Crumlin Star1

Dungannon-

TBD-

Warrenpoint-

Rathfriland Rangers4

Abbey Villa0

TBD-

Crusaders-

1/16-finals

Linfield2

Ballymena1

Portstewart2

Armagh3

Sport & Leisure3

Institute2

Immaculata0

Cliftonville2

Portadown6

Wakehurst1

Ballinamallard2

Coleraine3

Knockbreda5

Annagh1

Bangor FC1

Lurgan Celtic2

Glenavon4

Harland & Wolff1

Ards1

Glentoran4

PSNI2

Tobermore0

Larne2

Loughgall5

Carrick Rangers2

Banbridge0

Oxford Stars2

Crumlin Star3

Dungannon4

Warrenpoint3

Rathfriland Rangers0

Crusaders3

1/8-finals

Linfield7

Armagh0

Sport & Leisure0

Cliftonville4

Portadown3

Coleraine1

Knockbreda0

Lurgan Celtic1

Glenavon4

Glentoran1

PSNI0

Loughgall2

Carrick Rangers1

Crumlin Star0

Dungannon1

Crusaders3

Quarter-finals

Linfield3

Cliftonville0

Portadown2

Lurgan Celtic3

Glenavon2

Loughgall1

Carrick Rangers0

Crusaders3

Semi-finals

Linfield3

Lurgan Celtic0

Glenavon4

Crusaders3

Final

Linfield0

Glenavon2

Fivemiletown vs St. Marys

Northern Ireland

Fivemiletown

St. Marys

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Fivemiletown

St. Marys

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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