Sport Picks

Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2018/2019

Fivemiletown

1 - 2

Tullycarnet

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with Tullycarnet advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Fivemiletown

15%

Draws

51%

Tullycarnet

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tullycarnet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Fivemiletown come out ahead of Tullycarnet on wins alone.
Win probability leans Fivemiletown's way, sitting at 50%.
Fivemiletown have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Tullycarnet, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 90%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 97%

Over 1.5 Goals 87%

Over 2.5 Goals 90%

Over 3.5 Goals 73%

Over 4.5 Goals 33%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.2%

Fivemiletown Clean Sheet 10%

Tullycarnet Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Fivemiletown	Tullycarnet
Matches Played	16	7
Wins	7	5
Draws	0	0
Losses	9	2
Goals Scored	2.31	2.43
Goals Conceded	2.81	2.57
Expected Goals (xG)	2.41	2.71
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 3, 2018 Irish Cup

Fivemiletown vs Tullycarnet

1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fivemiletown 47 / 100

Tullycarnet 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Fivemiletown Tullycarnet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FIV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fivemiletown found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (15 games).

Tullycarnet let in goals in 86% of their last 7 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Fivemiletown stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fivemiletown VS Tullycarnet

2.25 Goals Scored 2.43

3 Goals Conceded 2.57

88% Over 1.5 86%

88% Over 2.5 86%

75% Over 3.5 71%

Recent Form & Match History

Fivemiletown

(Home)

25 Nov

Fivemiletown

0 : 5

Strabane Athletic

17 Aug

Fivemiletown

2 : 3

Ardstraw

03 Nov

Fivemiletown

1 : 2

Tullycarnet

29 Sept

Wakehurst

2 : 3

Fivemiletown

18 Aug

Fivemiletown

7 : 0

Bloomfield

Page 1 of 4

Tullycarnet

(Away)

30 Nov

Dollingstown

6 : 0

Tullycarnet

02 Nov

Tullycarnet

4 : 3

Armagh

28 Sept

Maiden City

1 : 3

Tullycarnet

01 Dec

Tullycarnet

3 : 4

Abbey Villa

03 Nov

Fivemiletown

1 : 2

Tullycarnet

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/256-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 6

Cookstown Youth 1

Aquinas 3

Foundry 4

Moneyslane FC -

TBD -

Bangor Swifts 1

Crumlin United 2

Newtowne FC 6

18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 3

Broomhedge 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 12

Annagh -

TBD -

Rosemount Rec -

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

St Luke's 0

TBD -

Dundonald -

Dunmurry Rec 4

Mossley FC 3

Iveagh Utd 2

Dungiven 5

Lurgan Town Boys -

TBD -

Ballynure Old Boys 2

Desertmartin 3

Armagh -

TBD -

Hanover 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Sofia Farmer 1

Seapatrick 1

Coagh Utd 6

Ards Rangers -

TBD -

Holywood 1

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge -

TBD -

Dunmurry Y.M. 4

Rathfriland Rangers 5

Ballymoney 2

Rosario Youth 1

Derriaghy 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University -

TBD -

Dollingstown -

Ardstraw 7

Dromore Amateurs 0

TBD -

Tobermore -

Brantwood 4

Orangefield Old Boys' 2

Saintfield 1

Laurelvale 3

Valley Rangers 3

Tandragee 2

TBD -

Newington FC -

Comber Rec 1

Immaculata 0

Dromara 1

Lisburn Rangers 2

Downshire Y.M. -

TBD -

Drumaness -

Shankill -

TBD -

Bangor Old Boys -

Wellington Rec -

TBD -

Lisburn Distillery -

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 9

Malachians 2

Lower Maze 2

Trojans 3

Ballynahinch United 3

Groomsport 2

TBD -

Seagoe -

Lurgan Celtic -

TBD -

Woodvale 2

St. Patricks Young 3

Oxford Sunnyside 6

Bryansburn 3

TBD -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star -

TBD -

Markethill 3

Killyleagh Youth 5

Banbridge Rangers 2

Sirocco 0

Glebe 1

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure -

TBD -

Ballymacash 1

Kilmore Rec 3

Moyola -

TBD -

Crewe -

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa -

TBD -

Chimney 2

Grove 5

Colin Valley 2

Suffolk 1

Silverwood 1

Shorts 8

Fivemiletown 7

Bloomfield 0

Oxford Stars 0

Wakehurst 1

Bangor Amateurs FC 3

Newcastle 2

Tullyvallen Rangers 3

Tullycarnet 4

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/128-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 2

Foundry 1

Moneyslane FC 1

Crumlin United 5

Newtowne FC 1

Ballynahinch Olympic 0

Annagh 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Dundonald 0

Dunmurry Rec 1

Dungiven 4

Lurgan Town Boys 4

Desertmartin 1

Armagh 0

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 4

Coagh Utd 2

Ards Rangers 0

Newbuildings 2

Banbridge 3

Rathfriland Rangers 1

Ballymoney 1

Strabane Athletic 5

Queens University 4

Dollingstown 3

Ardstraw 3

Tobermore 5

Brantwood 2

Laurelvale 1

Valley Rangers 1

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 4

Lisburn Rangers 1

Downshire Y.M. 0

Drumaness 4

Shankill 2

Bangor Old Boys 1

Wellington Rec 0

Lisburn Distillery 2

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 3

Trojans 1

Ballynahinch United 3

Seagoe 4

Lurgan Celtic -

St. Patricks Young -

Oxford Sunnyside -

Portstewart -

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 3

Killyleagh Youth 2

Banbridge Rangers 0

Bangor FC 2

Sport & Leisure 2

Kilmore Rec 1

Moyola 1

Crewe 2

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Grove 3

Colin Valley 3

Shorts 4

Fivemiletown 3

Wakehurst 2

Bangor Amateurs FC 0

Tullycarnet 1

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/64-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 3

Crumlin United 1

Newtowne FC 1

Rosemount Rec 2

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dungiven 1

Lurgan Town Boys 1

Dunloy 2

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 2

Newbuildings 0

Banbridge 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Tobermore 3

Brantwood 2

Newington FC 3

Comber Rec 2

Drumaness 1

Shankill 2

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 4

Seagoe 1

Lurgan Celtic 2

Portstewart 3

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 5

Bangor FC 3

Sport & Leisure 0

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 3

Shorts 1

Fivemiletown 1

Tullycarnet 2

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/32-finals

Ballinamallard -

TBD -

PSNI -

Ards -

TBD -

Carrick Rangers -

Glenavon -

TBD -

Islandmagee 1

Rosemount Rec 3

Cliftonville -

TBD -

Dungannon -

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Dunloy 0

TBD -

Limavady -

Knockbreda -

TBD -

St. James' Swifts 0

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 4

Newington FC 1

Comber Rec 3

Lisburn Distillery 4

Institute -

TBD -

Warrenpoint -

Coleraine -

TBD -

Harland & Wolff -

Maiden City 1

Portstewart 0

TBD -

Dergview -

Crumlin Star 2

Crewe 1

TBD -

Loughgall -

Newry City -

TBD -

Larne -

Ballymena -

TBD -

Dundela -

Abbey Villa 4

Tullycarnet 3

TBD -

Portadown -

Linfield -

TBD -

Ballyclare -

Glentoran -

TBD -

Crusaders -

1/16-finals

Ballinamallard 5

PSNI 1

Ards 0

Carrick Rangers 1

Glenavon 5

Rosemount Rec 0

Cliftonville 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 2

Limavady 0

Knockbreda 1

Strabane Athletic 2

Queens University 6

Lisburn Distillery 0

Institute 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 2

Harland & Wolff 0

Maiden City 2

Dergview 3

Crumlin Star 4

Loughgall 1

Newry City 1

Larne 2

Ballymena 3

Dundela 1

Abbey Villa 1

Portadown 5

Linfield 1

Ballyclare 0

Glentoran 1

Crusaders 4

1/8-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Carrick Rangers 0

Glenavon 0

Dungannon 1

Larne Technical Old Boys 3

Strabane Athletic 1

Queens University 0

Warrenpoint 2

Coleraine 3

Dergview 0

Crumlin Star 1

Larne 3

Ballymena 4

Portadown 1

Linfield 1

Crusaders 2

Quarter-finals

Ballinamallard 3

Dungannon 2

Larne Technical Old Boys 1

Warrenpoint 3

Coleraine 5

Larne 3

Ballymena 0

Crusaders 3

Semi-finals

Ballinamallard 1

Warrenpoint 0

Coleraine 0

Crusaders 2

Final

Ballinamallard 0

Crusaders 3

Fivemiletown vs Tullycarnet

Northern Ireland

Fivemiletown

Tullycarnet

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Fivemiletown

Tullycarnet

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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