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Fjallabyggd vs IH Hafnarfjordur

Iceland Iceland

Division 2 2010
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This Division 2 2010 encounter between Fjallabyggd and IH Hafnarfjordur promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Fjallabyggd averages 1.3 goals scored and 2.4 conceded in recent matches. IH Hafnarfjordur shows a form average of 2.0 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 4 wins for Fjallabyggd, 1 wins for IH Hafnarfjordur, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 20.08.11 ended in a 3:2 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.50 for Fjallabyggd and 1.81 for IH Hafnarfjordur, suggesting the primary value lies in the IH Hafnarfjordur double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Fjallabyggd
15%
Draws
52%
IH Hafnarfjordur
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: IH Hafnarfjordur

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Fjallabyggd picked up more points recently compared to IH Hafnarfjordur.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.81 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 75%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 89%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Over 3.5 Goals 45%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 59%
Fjallabyggd Clean Sheet 11%
IH Hafnarfjordur Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 80%
Second Half Goal 85%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjallabyggd IH Hafnarfjordur
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 6 14
Draws 3 0
Losses 20 16
Goals Scored 1.28 2
Goals Conceded 2.41 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.63 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

20.08.11 Division 2
Fjallabyggd vs IH Hafnarfjordur
3:2
18.06.11 Division 2
IH Hafnarfjordur vs Fjallabyggd
0:1
28.08.10 Division 2
Fjallabyggd vs IH Hafnarfjordur
1:2
29.06.10 Division 2
IH Hafnarfjordur vs Fjallabyggd
1:2
09.09.07 Division 2
IH Hafnarfjordur vs Fjallabyggd
0:3

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Fjallabyggd

Pressing Intensity Medium Block
Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks
Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

IH Hafnarfjordur

Pressing Intensity Aggressive press (PPDA < 9.5)
Attacking Style Keep the ball
Wing Attack Frequency A lot of crosses
Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)
Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjallabyggd 32 / 100
IH Hafnarfjordur 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjallabyggd IH Hafnarfjordur

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: IH Hafnarfjordur or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.7%
1.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Fjallabyggd 36%
IH Hafnarfjordur 42%
15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Fjallabyggd 31%
IH Hafnarfjordur 55%
30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Fjallabyggd 33%
IH Hafnarfjordur 52%
45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Fjallabyggd 35%
IH Hafnarfjordur 49%
60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Fjallabyggd 30%
IH Hafnarfjordur 57%
75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Fjallabyggd 38%
IH Hafnarfjordur 60%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Fjallabyggd attacking → ← attacking IH Hafnarfjordur

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjallabyggd have found the net in 72% of their last 29 matches.

IH Hafnarfjordur have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 29 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.00 goals per match.

Fjallabyggd remained undefeated in 0 of their last 5 overall matchups.

IH Hafnarfjordur suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate
Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

21 Points in last 5 42
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Olafsvik22184056:1958
2Bolungarvik22152558:2847
3Volsungur22134537:2543
4Hottur22113839:3136
5Hvot2295832:3432
6Reynir2294944:4331
7Afturelding2277832:3828
8Hamar22821226:4226
9Fjallabyggd22661039:4724
10IH Hafnarfjordur22621420:3520
11Vidir22611533:4119
12KV Reykjavik22241621:5410