Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Fjallabyggd vs Tindastoll

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Busk Fridriksson S.
28' Event
Milosevic S.
43' Event
Ingason S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-5, with Tindastoll advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Fjallabyggd
15%
Draws
85%
Tindastoll
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tindastoll

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Tindastoll come out ahead of Fjallabyggd on wins alone.
  • 85% — that's where the model lands on Tindastoll taking it.
  • Tindastoll arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tindastoll, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Fjallabyggd Clean Sheet 10%
Tindastoll Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjallabyggd Tindastoll
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 15
Draws 3 0
Losses 21 15
Goals Scored 1.32 1.93
Goals Conceded 2.32 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll vs Fjallabyggd
3:1
Mar 29, 2025 Icelandic Cup
Fjallabyggd vs Tindastoll
3:5
Apr 14, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Tindastoll vs Fjallabyggd
0:4
Apr 22, 2017 Icelandic Cup
Fjallabyggd vs Tindastoll
3:6
Sep 2, 2015 Division 2
Fjallabyggd vs Tindastoll
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjallabyggd Compare

Top Goalscorer Alfredsson J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Birgisson M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Tindastoll Compare

Top Goalscorer Busk Fridriksson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Milosevic S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjallabyggd 10 / 100
Tindastoll 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjallabyggd Tindastoll

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tindastoll Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tindastoll conceded in 93% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 5.80 goals as a typical output.

Fjallabyggd's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Difficult form: Tindastoll registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fjallabyggd VS Tindastoll
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjallabyggd

(Home)
21 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Fjallabyggd
29 Mar
Fjallabyggd
3 : 5
Tindastoll
14 Sept
Fjallabyggd
2 : 3
Hottur / Huginn
08 Sept
Haukar
5 : 1
Fjallabyggd
31 Aug
Throttur Vogar
5 : 0
Fjallabyggd
Page 1 of 7

Tindastoll

(Away)
03 Apr
Tindastoll
0 : 1
Njardvik
29 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Magni
21 Mar
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Fjallabyggd
26 Sept
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Tindastoll
19 Sept
Tindastoll
3 : 1
Kormakur/Hvot
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vaengirs 1
KA Asvellir 2
SR Reykjavik 2
KFR 3
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
KFG Gardabaer 2
Reynir 3
TBD -
Grindavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Fjallabyggd 3
Tindastoll 5
Volsungur 4
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Throttur -
TBD -
Ymir 3
Hafnir 4
Kari 7
KFS 1
Arbaer 4
Thorlakur 1
Aegir 2
KV Reykjavik 3
TBD -
Fylkir -
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik -
TBD -
BF 108 8
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
Throttur Vogar -
Kria 2
Lettir 1
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Olafsvik -
TBD -
Smari 4
Falkar 0
Hamar 1
Skallagrimur 3
Ulfarnir 3
Stokkseyri 0
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Alafoss 3
RB Keflavik 4
TBD -
Fjolnir -
Vestri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kopavogur -
TBD -
IBU 0
Hviti 6
IH Hafnarfjordur 4
KH Hlidarendi 1
TBD -
Selfoss -
KFK Kopavogur 1
Ellidi 5
Alftanes 0
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Magni 4
Kormakur/Hvot 2
Arborg 0
Augnablik 4
TBD -
IR Reykjavik -
Grotta -
TBD -
Vidir 2
Hordur Isafjordur 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Einherji 0
Sindri 2
TBD -
Hottur / Huginn -
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
Spyrnir 5
Neisti 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/32-finals
KR Reykjavik -
TBD -
KA Asvellir 3
KFR 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Reynir 0
Grindavik 5
TBD -
Valur -
Tindastoll 1
Volsungur 2
Throttur 7
Hafnir 0
Kari 8
Arbaer 1
KV Reykjavik 1
Fylkir 6
Stjarnan -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
BF 108 0
Keflavik 6
Throttur Vogar 0
Kria 0
Leiknir Reykjavik 5
Olafsvik 5
Smari 1
Skallagrimur 1
Ulfarnir 2
Breidablik -
TBD -
RB Keflavik 0
Fjolnir 4
Vestri -
TBD -
Kopavogur 4
Hviti 0
IH Hafnarfjordur 2
Selfoss 5
Ellidi 1
Haukar 3
Thor Akureyri 7
Magni 0
Augnablik 0
IR Reykjavik 5
Grotta 2
Vidir 1
TBD -
Akranes -
Afturelding -
TBD -
Sindri 0
Hottur / Huginn 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
KFA 3
Spyrnir 0
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Hafnarfjordur -
1/16-finals
KR Reykjavik 11
KA Asvellir 0
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 3
Vikingur Reykjavik 0
Grindavik 1
Valur 3
Volsungur 2
Throttur 3
Kari 2
Fylkir 1
Stjarnan 5
Njardvik 3
Keflavik 1
Leiknir Reykjavik 0
Olafsvik 7
Ulfarnir 1
Breidablik 5
Fjolnir 0
Vestri 4
Kopavogur 3
Selfoss 4
Haukar 0
Thor Akureyri 3
IR Reykjavik 1
Grotta 1
Akranes 4
Afturelding 5
Hottur / Huginn 0
KA Akureyri 4
KFA 0
Fram 1
Hafnarfjordur 0
1/8-finals
KR Reykjavik 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 4
Valur 2
Throttur 1
Kari 2
Stjarnan 3
Keflavik 5
Olafsvik 2
Breidablik 1
Vestri 2
Selfoss 1
Thor Akureyri 4
Akranes 0
Afturelding 1
KA Akureyri 2
Fram 4
Quarter-finals
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 0
Valur 1
Stjarnan 4
Keflavik 2
Vestri 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Afturelding 0
Fram 1
Semi-finals
Valur 3
Stjarnan 1
Vestri 1
Fram 0
Final
Valur 0
Vestri 1