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Fjolnir vs Selfoss

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Brynjolfsson F.
50' Event
Kjartansson V.
53'
Sub
Hafthorsson V. In: Hafstein B. T.
Out: Hafthorsson V.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Fjolnir and Selfoss finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Fjolnir
20%
Draws
57%
Selfoss
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Selfoss carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Selfoss's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 86.2%
Fjolnir Clean Sheet 10%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjolnir Selfoss
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 15
Draws 6 6
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 2.3 2.48
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.69
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 2.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Fjolnir
6:2
Jun 6, 2026 Division 2
Fjolnir vs Selfoss
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 Division 1
Selfoss vs Fjolnir
1:2
Jun 9, 2025 Division 1
Fjolnir vs Selfoss
0:2
Apr 23, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Fjolnir vs Selfoss
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjolnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hryniewicki P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Brynjolfsson F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kjartansson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.33
Avg xA / game 1.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjolnir 10 / 100
Selfoss 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjolnir Selfoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjolnir found the back of the net in 97% of recent matches (30 games).

Selfoss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fjolnir stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fjolnir VS Selfoss
2.13 Goals Scored 2.75
2.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjolnir

(Home)
27 Aug
Hviti
3 : 3
Fjolnir
23 Aug
Kari
1 : 0
Fjolnir
19 Aug
Fjolnir
1 : 2
KFA
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
Page 1 of 6

Selfoss

(Away)
29 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 0
Magni
23 Aug
Throttur Vogar
1 : 3
Selfoss
19 Aug
Selfoss
2 : 2
Kari
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 20 15 2 3 54:26 47
2 Selfoss 20 11 6 3 51:34 39
3 Kari 20 9 9 2 50:29 36
4 KFA 20 9 2 9 49:38 29
5 Olafsvik 20 8 4 8 28:37 28
6 Fjolnir 20 7 5 8 46:44 26
7 Dalvik/Reynir 20 7 4 9 30:34 25
8 Magni 20 7 4 9 34:50 25
9 Kormakur/Hvot 20 6 6 8 37:33 24
10 Throttur Vogar 20 6 1 13 30:40 19
11 KFG Gardabaer 20 6 1 13 33:55 19
12 Hviti 20 3 8 9 24:46 17
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)