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Fjolnir vs Selfoss

Iceland Iceland

Division 2
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Brynjolfsson F.
50' Event
Kjartansson V.
53'
Sub
Hafthorsson V. In: Hafstein B. T.
Out: Hafthorsson V.

AI Match Summary

The Division 2 game between Fjolnir and Selfoss finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Selfoss.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Fjolnir
15%
Draws
54%
Selfoss
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Selfoss

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Selfoss carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Selfoss's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 86.6%
Fjolnir Clean Sheet 10%
Selfoss Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjolnir Selfoss
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 11 14
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 2.31 2.32
Goals Conceded 2.34 1.71
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Division 2
Selfoss vs Fjolnir
6:2
Jun 6, 2026 Division 2
Fjolnir vs Selfoss
2:3
Aug 17, 2025 Division 1
Selfoss vs Fjolnir
1:2
Jun 9, 2025 Division 1
Fjolnir vs Selfoss
0:2
Apr 23, 2024 Icelandic Cup
Fjolnir vs Selfoss
4:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjolnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Jorgensson M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hryniewicki P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Selfoss Compare

Top Goalscorer Brynjolfsson F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Kjartansson V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.36

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjolnir 18 / 100
Selfoss 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjolnir Selfoss

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Selfoss Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjolnir found the back of the net in 100% of recent matches (29 games).

Selfoss's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Fjolnir stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Fjolnir VS Selfoss
2.38 Goals Scored 2.38
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjolnir

(Home)
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
08 Aug
Fjolnir
4 : 1
KFG Gardabaer
29 Jul
Olafsvik
2 : 2
Fjolnir
24 Jul
Fjolnir
2 : 1
Haukar
18 Jul
Magni
5 : 2
Fjolnir
Page 1 of 6

Selfoss

(Away)
15 Aug
Selfoss
6 : 2
Fjolnir
10 Aug
Olafsvik
2 : 0
Selfoss
04 Aug
Selfoss
4 : 0
Ymir
29 Jul
Selfoss
2 : 1
Dalvik/Reynir
25 Jul
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 5
Selfoss
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Haukar 17 12 2 3 43:22 38
2 Selfoss 17 9 5 3 40:31 32
3 Kari 17 7 8 2 45:27 29
4 Fjolnir 17 7 4 6 42:38 25
5 Olafsvik 17 7 4 6 24:29 25
6 Kormakur/Hvot 17 6 6 5 34:24 24
7 Dalvik/Reynir 17 6 3 8 25:28 21
8 Magni 17 6 3 8 30:42 21
9 KFA 17 6 2 9 38:35 20
10 Throttur Vogar 17 6 1 10 28:33 19
11 Hviti 17 3 7 7 21:32 16
12 KFG Gardabaer 17 4 1 12 24:53 13
Promotion - Division 1 2027 (Main)