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Fjora vs Gneist IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ardal M.
29' Event
Hovland M.
67' Event
Heggestad N.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2025 game between Fjora and Gneist IL finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fjora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Fjora
22%
Draws
18%
Gneist IL
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Fjora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Gneist IL haven't matched Fjora's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Fjora's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 82.6%
Fjora Clean Sheet 10%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjora Gneist IL
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 9 7
Draws 3 5
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 2 1.38
Goals Conceded 2.75 2.75
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 2.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Fjora vs Gneist IL
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Gneist IL vs Fjora
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardal M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hovland M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Gneist IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnesen T. N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjora 56 / 100
Gneist IL 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjora Gneist IL

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FJO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjora found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

Gneist IL let in goals in 94% of their last 31 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fjora has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fjora VS Gneist IL
2 Goals Scored 1.38
2.75 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
75% Over 3.5 63%