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Fjora vs Gneist IL

Norway Norway

Division 3 - Group 4 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Ardal M.
29' Event
Hovland M.
67' Event
Heggestad N.

AI Match Summary

The Division 3 - Group 4 2025 game between Fjora and Gneist IL finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Fjora.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Fjora
20%
Draws
36%
Gneist IL
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Fjora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Gneist IL haven't matched Fjora's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Gneist IL's way, sitting at 70%.
  • Regular Division 3 - Group 4 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Fjora Clean Sheet 10%
Gneist IL Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Fjora Gneist IL
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 3 4
Losses 18 19
Goals Scored 1.77 1.53
Goals Conceded 3.17 2.77
Expected Goals (xG) 2.10 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 19, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Fjora vs Gneist IL
3:1
Jul 26, 2025 Division 3 - Group 4
Gneist IL vs Fjora
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Fjora Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardal M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hovland M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.62
Avg xA / game 1.05

Gneist IL Compare

Top Goalscorer Arnesen T. N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Fjora 14 / 100
Gneist IL 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Fjora Gneist IL

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gneist IL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Fjora found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Gneist IL let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Fjora has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Fjora VS Gneist IL
0 Goals Scored 2.13
8 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
100% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Fjora

(Home)
21 Aug
Fjora
0 : 8
Sogndal
20 Feb
Fjora
1 : 0
Bjarg
26 Oct
Forde
3 : 1
Fjora
19 Oct
Fjora
3 : 1
Gneist IL
11 Oct
Loddefjord
7 : 3
Fjora
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Gneist IL

(Away)
26 Sept
Austevoll
1 : 0
Gneist IL
19 Sept
Gneist IL
2 : 2
Varegg
12 Sept
Fyllingsdalen
1 : 2
Gneist IL
07 Sept
Gneist IL
3 : 3
Asane 2
30 Aug
Askoy
2 : 0
Gneist IL
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