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Stadium Background

FK 1625 Liepaja vs FK Smiltene

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1. Liga 2014
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AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2014 game between FK 1625 Liepaja and FK Smiltene finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward FK 1625 Liepaja.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK 1625 Liepaja
6%
Draws
4%
FK Smiltene
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK 1625 Liepaja

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK 1625 Liepaja carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives FK 1625 Liepaja a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 4 times recently and FK 1625 Liepaja have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
FK 1625 Liepaja Clean Sheet 19%
FK Smiltene Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK 1625 Liepaja FK Smiltene
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 18 5
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 19
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2015 Nakotnes liga
FK Smiltene vs FK 1625 Liepaja
1:3
May 9, 2015 Nakotnes liga
FK 1625 Liepaja vs FK Smiltene
7:2
Oct 11, 2014 Nakotnes liga
FK Smiltene vs FK 1625 Liepaja
1:2
Jun 14, 2014 Nakotnes liga
FK 1625 Liepaja vs FK Smiltene
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK 1625 Liepaja 85 / 100
FK Smiltene 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK 1625 Liepaja FK Smiltene

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIE Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK 1625 Liepaja scored in 87% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: FK Smiltene conceded in 87% of 31 recent games.

Historical meetings average 5.25 goals per match.

FK 1625 Liepaja went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS FK Smiltene
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FK 1625 Liepaja

(Home)
07 Nov
FK 1625 Liepaja
5 : 0
Alberts JDFS
31 Oct
Bebri
2 : 6
FK 1625 Liepaja
24 Oct
FK 1625 Liepaja
7 : 0
Rezekne
17 Oct
Salaspils FK
3 : 3
FK 1625 Liepaja
10 Oct
FK 1625 Liepaja
0 : 2
Riga FC
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FK Smiltene

(Away)
19 Jul
FK Smiltene
1 : 0
Rezekne
04 Jul
Marupe
2 : 1
FK Smiltene
28 Jun
FK Smiltene
2 : 4
Skanste
22 Jun
FK Smiltene
1 : 4
Valmiera
14 Jun
Riga FC 2
2 : 0
FK Smiltene
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gulbene302730128:1184
2Rezekne302523118:2777
3Valmiera302226105:3468
4FK 1625 Liepaja30214587:3467
5RFS301848104:3958
6FK Auda Riga301811168:4255
7Tukums 2000301551088:5350
8Ogre301141560:5037
9Jekabpils SC301071350:7137
10Preilu BJSS301011960:9231
11AFA Olaine30861651:8130
12SFK United30781538:5629
13Saldus SS/Brocenu BJSS30812137:8625
14FK Smiltene30591637:7724
15Salaspils FK30272124:8413
16Plavinas30022810:2282
Promotion - Virslīga 2015 (Main)
Promotion - Virslīga 2014 (Relegation)