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FK Alberts vs Valmiera

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1. Liga 2005
FK Alberts Logo

FK Alberts

1 - 1
FT
Valmiera Logo

Valmiera

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The 1. Liga 2005 game between FK Alberts and Valmiera finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
FK Alberts
15%
Draws
85%
Valmiera
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Valmiera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Valmiera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Valmiera are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular 1. Liga 2005 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
FK Alberts Clean Sheet 14%
Valmiera Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Alberts Valmiera
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 21
Draws 2 4
Losses 23 6
Goals Scored 1.2 2.71
Goals Conceded 3.53 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.61
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 26, 2006 1. Liga
FK Alberts vs Valmiera
0:0
May 27, 2006 1. Liga
Valmiera vs FK Alberts
6:0
Sep 24, 2005 1. Liga
FK Alberts vs Valmiera
1:1
Jun 26, 2005 1. Liga
Valmiera vs FK Alberts
7:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Alberts 10 / 100
Valmiera 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Alberts Valmiera

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Valmiera Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

FK Alberts scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Valmiera has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

Difficult form: Valmiera registered 1 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Valmiera
0 Goals Scored 2.13
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Alberts

(Home)
14 May
Speks
4 : 3
FK Alberts
16 May
Bauskas / Memele
4 : 0
FK Alberts
26 May
Kekava-Auda
5 : 1
FK Alberts
22 May
FK Alberts
1 : 4
LSPA
04 Jul
Caramba
2 : 0
FK Alberts
Page 1 of 6

Valmiera

(Away)
19 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 4
Riga Mariners
12 Sept
Alberts JDFS
1 : 2
Valmiera
05 Sept
Valmiera
2 : 2
FK Metta
30 Aug
Rezekne
1 : 6
Valmiera
22 Aug
Valmiera
4 : 1
Marupe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Skonto 2 26 20 5 1 81:18 65
2 Ventspils 2 26 15 7 4 98:25 52
3 Blazma 26 15 3 8 68:43 48
4 Liepajas Metalurgs 2 26 14 5 7 57:23 47
5 FC Daugava Daugavpils 26 14 5 7 59:28 47
6 Valmiera 26 9 8 9 37:39 35
7 JFC Skonto 26 8 11 7 44:31 35
8 FK Riga 2 26 10 5 11 33:41 35
9 FK Jurmala VV 2 26 9 7 10 48:48 34
10 Zibens Zemessardze 26 7 8 11 45:56 29
11 Jelgava 26 8 2 16 43:59 26
12 FK Auda Riga 26 8 2 16 27:46 26
13 FK Alberts 26 5 3 18 39:111 18
14 Ogre 26 3 3 20 30:141 12
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