Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Atmosfera vs FC Stumbras 2

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2019
Sun, Sep 22, 2019
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Atmosfera host FC Stumbras 2 in the I Lyga 2019. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. FK Atmosfera have averaged 1.75 scored and 1.13 conceded recently, against FC Stumbras 2's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor FK Atmosfera slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 22, 2019, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.48 - 1.06) back FK Atmosfera to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
FK Atmosfera
39%
Draws
31%
FC Stumbras 2
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • FK Atmosfera carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 20%
FC Stumbras 2 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Atmosfera FC Stumbras 2
Matches Played 28 11
Wins 14 4
Draws 5 2
Losses 9 5
Goals Scored 1.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 22, 2019 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs FC Stumbras 2
0:0
Jun 1, 2019 I Lyga
FC Stumbras 2 vs FK Atmosfera
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Atmosfera 31 / 100
FC Stumbras 2 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Atmosfera FC Stumbras 2

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Atmosfera found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

FK Atmosfera went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: FC Stumbras 2 registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

FC Stumbras 2's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 11 matches.

Scoring Trends

FK Atmosfera VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Dziugas Telsiai28194558:2361
2Banga28175657:2456
3Vilniaus Vytis28174774:3155
4Dainava Alytus28172964:3253
5Nevezis Kedainiai28164866:3752
6FA Siauliai28145961:3747
7FC Hegelmann28128857:4244
8FK Minija281251154:4941
9Jonava281241255:4640
10Kupiskis281061249:5636
11BFA Vilnius281031556:5333
12Riteriai 228951461:4932
13Zalgiris 228641843:8322
14FK Atmosfera28342123:9613
15FC Pakruojis28332225:14512
16FC Stumbras 200000:00