Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Atmosfera vs Nevezis Kedainiai

Lithuania Lithuania

I Lyga 2025 Mažeikių stadionas - artificial grass
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Horikoshi T.
6' Event
Aderounmu K.
(Penalty)
16'
Mantinis K.

AI Match Summary

FK Atmosfera in this I Lyga 2025 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored FK Atmosfera.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
FK Atmosfera
6%
Draws
4%
Nevezis Kedainiai
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: FK Atmosfera

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Atmosfera have won more games recently than Nevezis Kedainiai.
  • Model gives FK Atmosfera a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 79%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 10%
Nevezis Kedainiai Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Atmosfera Nevezis Kedainiai
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 9 19
Goals Scored 1.63 4
Goals Conceded 1.25 3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Nevezis Kedainiai
4:1
Jun 13, 2025 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Atmosfera
0:1
Aug 10, 2024 I Lyga
Nevezis Kedainiai vs FK Atmosfera
1:1
Mar 15, 2024 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Nevezis Kedainiai
1:2
Sep 16, 2022 I Lyga
FK Atmosfera vs Nevezis Kedainiai
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Atmosfera Compare

Top Goalscorer Horikoshi T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Seki K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Nevezis Kedainiai Compare

Top Goalscorer Bekima B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Atmosfera 83 / 100
Nevezis Kedainiai 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Atmosfera Nevezis Kedainiai

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ATM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Nevezis Kedainiai conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Attacking prowess: FK Atmosfera scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

FK Atmosfera has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Atmosfera VS Nevezis Kedainiai
1.63 Goals Scored 4
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Transinvest30261387:2279
2Neptunas30214568:2767
3Tauras Taurage30188456:2262
4FK Babrungas30177664:4358
5BFA Vilnius30167747:3655
6FK Atmosfera301461052:3448
7Zalgiris 2301191050:4842
8Jonava301191026:2542
9FK Minija301131627:4636
10Hegelmann Litauen 230871535:5131
11BE1 NFA30861635:5130
12Ekranas30921937:5829
13FK Kauno Zalgiris 230831943:5727
14Siauliai 230822041:7126
15Nevezis Kedainiai30751832:5826
16FK Panevezys 230632130:8121