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Stadium Background

FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris

Lithuania Lithuania

Lithuanian Cup Mažeikių stadionas - artificial grass, Mazeikiai
FK Atmosfera Logo

FK Atmosfera

2 - 1
FT
Zalgiris Logo

Zalgiris

Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Antal L.
75' Event
Funami Y.
82' Event
Seki K.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-1. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
FK Atmosfera
20%
Draws
48%
Zalgiris
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Zalgiris

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

32% / Low Confidence
  • FK Atmosfera haven't matched Zalgiris's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans FK Atmosfera's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Zalgiris arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Atmosfera, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
FK Atmosfera Clean Sheet 10%
Zalgiris Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Atmosfera Zalgiris
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 12
Draws 7 5
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.57 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.51 2.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2026 Lithuanian Cup
FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris
2:1
Aug 28, 2011 TOPLYGA
FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris
0:1
Jun 11, 2011 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Atmosfera
1:1
Mar 19, 2011 TOPLYGA
FK Atmosfera vs Zalgiris
2:0
Sep 25, 2010 TOPLYGA
Zalgiris vs FK Atmosfera
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Atmosfera Compare

Top Goalscorer Funami Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Seki K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.16
Avg xA / game 0.76

Zalgiris Compare

Top Goalscorer Antal L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.03
Avg xA / game 1.24

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Atmosfera 38 / 100
Zalgiris 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Atmosfera Zalgiris

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FK Atmosfera Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 3:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Atmosfera found the back of the net in 75% of recent matches (28 games).

Zalgiris let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Zalgiris lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

FK Atmosfera VS Zalgiris
1.14 Goals Scored 2.88
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.88
86% Over 1.5 100%
43% Over 2.5 100%
43% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Atmosfera

(Home)
29 Aug
Neptunas
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
22 Aug
Dainava Alytus
1 : 1
FK Atmosfera
14 Aug
Transinvest 2
2 : 0
FK Atmosfera
08 Aug
FK Atmosfera
1 : 1
Siauliai 2
01 Aug
FK Kauno Zalgiris 2
3 : 1
FK Atmosfera
Page 1 of 6

Zalgiris

(Away)
30 Aug
FK Panevezys
2 : 0
Zalgiris
23 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 0
Dziugas Telsiai
16 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 3
Banga
13 Aug
Hajduk Split
4 : 0
Zalgiris
06 Aug
Zalgiris
2 : 5
Hajduk Split
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Pempininkai 2
Sirijus 1
FK Minija 3
Suduva 2
FK Atmosfera 2
Zalgiris 1
SSPC FSK Radviliskis 0
FK Panevezys 2
Klaipedos FM 1
BE1 NFA 0
Viltis Vilnius 1
Dainava Alytus 7
Kursenai 1
Transinvest 10
Tauras Taurage 1
FC Hegelmann 4
Ataka Vilnius 4
FK Sirvena Birzai 0
Jonava 0
FA Siauliai 4
Neptunas 0
Dziugas Telsiai 2
Vilniaus Vytis 0
Banga 4
BFA Vilnius 1
FK Babrungas 0
AFK Vilnius 0
Garliava 3
Vilnius FA 0
Riteriai 1
FK Sveikata Kybartai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
1/8-finals
Pempininkai 1
FK Minija 4
FK Atmosfera 0
FK Panevezys 3
Klaipedos FM 0
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 2
FC Hegelmann 0
Ataka Vilnius 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
Banga 0
BFA Vilnius 2
Garliava 1
Riteriai 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 4
Quarter-finals
FK Minija 2
FK Panevezys 1
Dainava Alytus 2
Transinvest 1
FA Siauliai 2
Dziugas Telsiai 1
BFA Vilnius 0
FK Kauno Zalgiris 3
Semi-finals
FK Minija -
Dainava Alytus -
FA Siauliai -
FK Kauno Zalgiris -
Final
TBD -
TBD -