Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja

Latvia Latvia

Latvian Cup Skonto stadions, Riga
FK Auda Riga Logo

FK Auda Riga

1 - 0
FT
FK Liepaja Logo

FK Liepaja

Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Gueye D.
34'
Ogunniyi A.
46'
Sub
Talisca In: Sorokins V.
Out: Talisca
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
FK Auda Riga
20%
Draws
35%
FK Liepaja
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • FK Auda Riga carry the better recent record into this one.
  • FK Auda Riga are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • FK Auda Riga have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor FK Auda Riga, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • FK Auda Riga have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
FK Liepaja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga FK Liepaja
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 25, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
1:0
Jul 11, 2026 Latvian Cup
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
1:0
May 22, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
3:1
Apr 8, 2026 Virsliga
FK Liepaja vs FK Auda Riga
1:2
Oct 20, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs FK Liepaja
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Top Goalscorer Kone K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

FK Liepaja Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 42 / 100
FK Liepaja 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga FK Liepaja

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: FK Auda Riga scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: FK Liepaja conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

FK Auda Riga has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS FK Liepaja
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
06 Sept
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
Grobina
02 Sept
BFC Daugavpils
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
29 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 1
Super Nova
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Auda Riga
3 : 0
Tukums 2000
Page 1 of 6

FK Liepaja

(Away)
07 Sept
RFS
0 : 0
FK Liepaja
31 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 2
Riga FC
25 Aug
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
21 Aug
FK Liepaja
3 : 1
Grobina
09 Aug
Super Nova
1 : 2
FK Liepaja
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
RFK/RFS 0
Riga Mariners 11
Iecava 0
Alberts JDFS 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
LSPA 1
FK Smiltene 5
Valmiera 2
Skanste 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
JFC Viola 1
Marupe 2
Valka 1
Aliance 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
Upesciema Warriors 0
JFK Ventspils 3
DSVK Traktors 3
Leevon PPK 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Riga FC -
Lielupe 0
FK Metta 6
Kekava-Auda 2
Rezekne 1
Saldus NSS 0
Salaspils FK 4
Speks 6
FK Union / JFK Daugava 0
1/16-finals
Riga Mariners 1
Alberts JDFS 0
TBD -
BFC Daugavpils -
FK Smiltene 1
Valmiera 4
TBD -
Ogre United -
FK Auda Riga -
TBD -
TBD -
FK Liepaja -
Marupe 4
Aliance 2
TBD -
Grobina -
Tukums 2000 -
TBD -
TBD -
Super Nova -
RFS -
TBD -
TBD -
Jelgava -
JFK Ventspils 1
Leevon PPK 3
TBD -
Riga FC -
FK Metta 5
Kekava-Auda 0
Salaspils FK 1
Speks 3
1/8-finals
Riga Mariners 3
BFC Daugavpils 4
Valmiera 2
Ogre United 4
FK Auda Riga 1
FK Liepaja 0
Marupe 0
Grobina 1
Tukums 2000 1
Super Nova 2
RFS 2
Jelgava 0
Leevon PPK 2
Riga FC 3
FK Metta 3
Speks 1
Quarter-finals
BFC Daugavpils 3
Ogre United 1
FK Auda Riga 3
Grobina 2
Super Nova 0
RFS 1
Riga FC 4
FK Metta 1
Semi-finals
BFC Daugavpils 2
FK Auda Riga 3
RFS 2
Riga FC 3
Final
FK Auda Riga -
Riga FC -