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FK Auda Riga vs Ogre United

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Wed, Sep 16, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FK Auda Riga host Ogre United in the Virsliga. This has FK Auda Riga written all over it on paper. FK Auda Riga have averaged 1.5 scored and 0.75 conceded recently, against Ogre United's 1.63 scored and 2.63 conceded. Head-to-head, FK Auda Riga have won 1 to Ogre United's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.19, favoring FK Auda Riga. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
FK Auda Riga
20%
Draws
28%
Ogre United
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: FK Auda Riga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Very High Confidence
  • Ogre United haven't matched FK Auda Riga's recent run of results.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on FK Auda Riga taking it.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 20%
Ogre United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga Ogre United
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 5
Losses 6 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 2.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Ogre United
0:0
May 30, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs Ogre United
2:0
Apr 17, 2026 Virsliga
Ogre United vs FK Auda Riga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 76 / 100
Ogre United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga Ogre United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AUD Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga scored in 88% of their last 26 games.

Ogre United has conceded goals in 93% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: FK Auda Riga remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS Ogre United
1.5 Goals Scored 1.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
30 Jul
FK Auda Riga
4 : 1
FCSB
26 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
BFC Daugavpils
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
11 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
04 Jul
RFS
1 : 1
FK Auda Riga
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Ogre United

(Away)
27 Jul
Grobina
2 : 2
Ogre United
19 Jul
Ogre United
0 : 4
BFC Daugavpils
12 Jul
Valmiera
2 : 4
Ogre United
06 Jul
Super Nova
1 : 2
Ogre United
30 Jun
FK Liepaja
4 : 0
Ogre United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 RFS 24 20 2 2 56:16 62
2 Riga FC 24 19 4 1 72:20 61
3 FK Auda Riga 23 13 4 6 38:26 43
4 BFC Daugavpils 25 9 6 10 31:31 33
5 FK Liepaja 24 9 4 11 31:36 31
6 Super Nova 23 8 3 12 25:35 27
7 Jelgava 25 6 7 12 25:43 25
8 Grobina 25 4 9 12 17:41 21
9 Tukums 2000 25 4 8 13 40:49 20
10 Ogre United 24 3 5 16 23:61 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)