Sport Picks

Stadium Background

FK Auda Riga vs RFS

Latvia Latvia

Virsliga Skonto stadions, Riga
Our Tip

Match Events

13'
Sub
Melniks D. In: Kragliks R.
Out: Melniks D.
17'
Rubenis O.
29' Event
Kouadio A.
Assist: Saidy M.

AI Match Summary

The Virsliga game between FK Auda Riga and RFS finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward RFS.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
FK Auda Riga
17%
Draws
70%
RFS
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: RFS

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • FK Auda Riga haven't matched RFS's recent run of results.
  • Model gives RFS a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Virsliga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
FK Auda Riga Clean Sheet 14%
RFS Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric FK Auda Riga RFS
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 15 25
Draws 4 2
Losses 8 2
Goals Scored 1 2.38
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
1:1
May 17, 2026 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs RFS
0:3
Apr 4, 2026 Virsliga
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
0:1
Sep 17, 2025 Latvian Cup
RFS vs FK Auda Riga
0:2
Aug 31, 2025 Virsliga
FK Auda Riga vs RFS
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

FK Auda Riga Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

RFS Compare

Top Goalscorer Kouadio A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diomande I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

FK Auda Riga 15 / 100
RFS 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
FK Auda Riga RFS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RFS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

FK Auda Riga scored in 85% of their last 27 games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: FK Auda Riga stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

RFS has conceded goals in 45% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

FK Auda Riga VS RFS
1 Goals Scored 2.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

FK Auda Riga

(Home)
23 Jul
FCSB
2 : 3
FK Auda Riga
11 Jul
FK Auda Riga
1 : 0
FK Liepaja
04 Jul
RFS
1 : 1
FK Auda Riga
29 Jun
FK Auda Riga
0 : 2
Riga FC
25 Jun
Grobina
0 : 0
FK Auda Riga
Page 1 of 6

RFS

(Away)
23 Jul
RFS
4 : 1
Vestri
20 Jul
Jelgava
0 : 1
RFS
16 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Glentoran
12 Jul
RFS
2 : 0
Jelgava
09 Jul
Glentoran
1 : 2
RFS
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1RFS23192255:1659
2Riga FC23184168:2058
3FK Auda Riga22124637:2640
4BFC Daugavpils2386929:2930
5FK Liepaja22841028:3428
6Super Nova23831225:3527
7Jelgava23671024:3925
8Grobina23481115:3520
9Tukums 200023381238:4717
10Ogre United23341621:5913
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga 2027 (Main)